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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 24, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Thunder
95
7Grizzlies
98
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
49
42
30
9
3
2
1
5
5
3
6
10-13
77%
10-19
8-15
53%
52%
0-8
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
39
38
12
5
0
2
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
6-10
5-10
60%
53%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
39
35
30
13
2
1
2
0
4
4
9
8-12
67%
5-13
6-14
38%
46%
4-13
31%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.5
34
21
7
9
1
1
0
1
2
3
6
1-2
50%
3-3
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
31
23
7
4
1
2
1
0
2
2
2
3-3
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.1
22
23
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.0
18
19
4
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
0-2
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.5
16
15
2
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.7
16
15
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
39%
1-1
100%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.8
6
0
0-1
49%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.9
2
0
0-0
47%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
1
0
0-0
47%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.2
1
0
0-0
55%
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 20.8
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.8
45
37
16
10
6
0
1
0
3
4
6
6-7
86%
5-19
7-16
26%
46%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.2
39
41
14
8
2
1
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
7-14
7-15
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.5
39
37
20
5
3
2
2
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
46%
2-5
40%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.6
36
32
10
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
2-7
3-6
29%
50%
1-2
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.2
24
13
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.3
31
28
16
9
3
2
2
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
8-12
4-8
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.2
20
22
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.2
17
3
6
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.8
14
9
12
2
2
1
0
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
4-4
1-2
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.9
8
0
1-2
51%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.2
4
0
0-1
48%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.2
3
0
0-1
47%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.1
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.9
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.