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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 25, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets42%106121
7Trail Blazers58%109116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.7
49.6
41.2
37
47%
9
6
2
2
0
1
1
8
8-9
89%
10-24
5-11
42%
48%
3-11
27%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.4
45.4
32.1
24
64%
14
2
0
1
2
4
6
8
4-6
67%
10-16
6-11
63%
56%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.8
41.5
36.2
16
53%
9
1
1
1
0
0
4
5
0-0
-
2-9
2-5
22%
47%
4-6
67%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.5
34.4
37.6
15
55%
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
27.4
19.6
7
47%
8
2
0
0
1
2
5
3
1-1
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
52%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.7
33.4
24.9
13
55%
4
6
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
1-4
25%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
20.0
5.5
9
75%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
3-6
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.3
13.3
28.2
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
5-9
0%
55%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.3
11.4
0
1-1
46%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.8
5.3
0
0-1
46%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.6
4.3
0
1-1
52%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
4.3
0
0-1
43%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.2
2.6
0
0-1
39%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.9
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.4
48.9
38.1
26
60%
9
5
3
1
0
2
3
6
4-4
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
51%
4-9
44%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.8
47.5
38.7
30
75%
6
6
1
1
0
2
0
6
8-9
89%
5-8
4-9
63%
45%
4-8
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.8
43.2
37.0
23
46%
10
3
0
1
3
0
1
9
7-7
100%
8-21
10-21
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.5
37.5
36.5
5
36%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.1
26.0
29.3
11
49%
8
0
1
0
3
0
6
2
1-3
33%
5-10
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.3
35.7
22.9
17
70%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
4-5
80%
5-8
2-5
63%
44%
1-2
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 28.4
18.3
15.0
2
25%
6
1
0
0
3
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.1
4.5
9.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.2
3.6
2.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.3
3.6
0
0-1
45%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
2.4
0
0-0
46%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 34.9
1.3
0
0-0
38%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.2
1.1
0
0-0
52%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 25.7
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.