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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 27, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets
120
9Trail Blazers
123
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.5
45
35
26
8
2
1
1
1
2
0
8
0-2
0%
7-12
4-8
58%
51%
4-6
67%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.4
44
36
25
14
2
2
1
2
3
3
11
11-17
65%
7-14
7-13
50%
56%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.7
42
43
28
4
6
1
2
0
5
1
3
7-8
88%
6-10
6-12
60%
48%
3-11
27%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.8
37
37
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-4
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
33
22
6
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.3
22
20
8
6
1
1
1
0
0
4
2
2-4
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.7
21
28
4
5
4
0
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
21
12
17
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
4-5
80%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.3
7
0
0-1
46%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.8
4
0
0-1
46%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.6
3
0
0-1
52%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
3
0
0-1
44%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.3
2
0
0-1
39%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.9
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.8
47
41
23
1
8
0
1
0
2
1
0
6-7
86%
1-6
4-9
17%
45%
5-7
71%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.4
45
41
25
6
6
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
9-16
3-7
56%
51%
2-7
29%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.8
44
38
29
10
2
2
1
4
1
3
7
5-8
63%
12-23
10-21
52%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.5
42
35
21
4
3
4
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
6-9
3-5
67%
47%
2-6
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.1
32
26
6
11
2
1
0
1
2
3
8
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.4
24
27
9
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
44%
1-6
17%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 28.4
18
15
8
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
4
5-7
71%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-2
50%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.2
7
3
0
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.1
6
6
2
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.3
2
0
0-1
46%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
2
0
0-0
47%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 34.9
1
0
0-0
40%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.2
1
0
0-0
53%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 25.7
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.