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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 2, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets40%10698
7Trail Blazers60%11099
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.5
42.4
39.4
16
47%
12
3
0
1
0
1
3
9
0-0
-
5-13
5-10
38%
50%
2-4
50%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.7
41.9
40.6
34
84%
4
6
4
2
0
4
0
4
12-12
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
48%
4-6
67%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.4
39.8
34.9
26
57%
11
3
1
1
2
3
5
6
6-11
55%
10-18
7-12
56%
55%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
32.7
29.5
4
69%
7
1
2
0
1
2
3
4
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.8
23.3
27.7
2
25%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.7
32.3
27.5
11
37%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-4
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
1-6
17%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.3
18.4
21.2
5
51%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
9.2
16.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-2
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.9
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.3
3.3
0
0-0
46%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.6
2.8
0
0-1
51%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
2.7
0
0-0
44%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.3
2.6
0
0-1
40%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.9
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.8
43.4
41.8
25
82%
6
3
3
1
1
4
1
5
3-3
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
45%
6-10
60%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.8
39.9
38.6
30
49%
13
2
0
1
0
1
4
9
10-10
100%
10-26
10-21
38%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.5
39.7
37.3
12
41%
3
0
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-4
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
2-8
25%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.4
39.6
39.7
9
45%
2
7
3
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
52%
1-6
17%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.1
39.2
32.6
12
55%
7
0
1
0
4
0
4
3
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.4
21.0
21.7
3
44%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.1
16.1
7.2
8
68%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 28.4
1.2
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.2
1.9
0
0-0
48%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.3
1.4
0
0-0
47%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
1.0
0
0-0
47%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 34.9
0.6
0
0-0
50%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.2
0.4
0
0-0
50%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 25.7
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.