Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Wizards
102
12Pacers
96
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.9
43
40
25
7
6
5
1
1
4
2
5
6-9
67%
5-13
4-11
38%
41%
3-5
60%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.7
40
38
13
5
10
1
2
2
1
0
5
5-6
83%
4-11
5-12
36%
43%
0-3
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
37
37
22
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-4
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
6-6
100%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
36
34
12
15
2
0
1
2
5
6
9
4-6
67%
4-12
5-11
33%
50%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.6
32
27
15
6
2
0
1
2
2
1
5
3-4
75%
6-16
5-11
38%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 32.6
18
8
12
13
0
0
0
0
1
7
6
2-2
100%
5-10
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.4
16
17
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
9
24
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
51%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.1
8
9
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.2
1
0
0-0
43%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.9
1
0
0-0
43%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.5
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.4
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.0
43
41
18
6
5
1
2
0
2
1
5
9-9
100%
3-12
5-11
25%
46%
1-5
20%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.7
38
40
15
12
2
0
1
1
3
3
9
3-4
75%
6-15
6-13
40%
49%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.7
35
38
12
6
2
2
1
0
4
0
6
2-2
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
53%
2-4
50%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.0
33
40
18
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-5
60%
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
3-6
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.4
18
23
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
46%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 34.0
27
4
12
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
4
0-2
0%
6-11
1-1
55%
48%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
19
3
7
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.0
15
21
9
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.5
12
17
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 30.1
1
10
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-1
100%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.3
2
0
0-0
43%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.0
1
0
0-0
44%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25.2
1
0
0-0
46%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.5
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.