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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 11, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Pacers43%9095
14Wizards57%9292
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.0
46.4
41.4
39
80%
12
0
2
2
0
2
1
11
8-10
80%
5-10
5-11
50%
45%
7-10
70%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.7
43.9
35.5
14
48%
3
8
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-6
67%
5-12
5-11
42%
48%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.7
41.0
37.2
8
50%
9
6
1
1
0
6
2
7
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
51%
2-4
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.4
38.7
27.8
17
56%
9
0
1
0
2
2
5
4
5-7
71%
6-12
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.0
37.5
35.2
15
55%
2
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
1-5
20%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.1
10.5
15.2
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
8.6
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 34.0
8.2
13.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.5
5.3
16.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.3
1.8
0
0-0
42%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 30.1
1.7
0
0-0
50%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25.3
1.1
0
0-0
45%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.0
1.1
0
0-0
38%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.5
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.9
42.0
41.0
20
60%
5
5
3
1
0
1
0
5
4-6
67%
5-10
5-11
50%
42%
2-4
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.9
33.4
35.9
16
67%
9
0
3
1
0
3
3
6
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
2-4
50%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.7
32.2
38.5
12
47%
1
7
1
2
1
5
0
1
3-4
75%
3-8
5-12
38%
44%
1-3
33%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.7
24.6
33.1
10
36%
3
3
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-14
7-13
36%
49%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
21.4
32.5
2
33%
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
5-10
33%
51%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 32.6
27.3
15.4
10
50%
4
2
0
0
3
2
2
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
44%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.2
22.6
3.9
11
63%
6
0
2
0
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
4-5
0-1
80%
46%
0-2
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.4
20.6
16.1
4
67%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.1
15.8
7.0
7
48%
3
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.0
0.1
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.5
7.1
0
1-2
52%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.9
0.9
0
0-0
42%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.4
0.5
0
0-0
44%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.5
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.