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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
May 8, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Nets27%9382
4Heat73%10194
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.9
39.1
36.9
13
44%
4
3
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
6-10
5-10
60%
47%
0-4
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
36.5
32.2
0
0%
7
6
0
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
0-7
3-6
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 36.6
34.1
27.8
13
55%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
2-4
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 28.7
32.6
24.7
15
70%
5
3
0
1
1
3
1
4
3-4
75%
6-9
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 38.0
20.7
18.7
4
25%
12
3
3
1
0
3
5
7
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 28.6
25.6
19.0
20
83%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
6-9
67%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.9
18.4
17.4
10
46%
3
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0-2
0%
5-8
2-3
63%
45%
0-2
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.6
17.3
22.2
5
53%
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.2
11.0
10.2
2
50%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
4.6
14.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.2
9.1
0
1-1
50%
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 25.4
3.5
0
0-1
45%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 35.4
1.5
0
0-0
43%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 26.1
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.4
39.1
36.9
22
53%
4
3
2
1
1
2
0
4
4-6
67%
9-15
7-13
60%
58%
0-3
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.1
36.7
30.8
18
61%
6
0
0
1
3
1
3
3
3-4
75%
6-9
4-7
67%
54%
1-4
25%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.3
35.5
32.7
14
51%
7
7
2
1
1
2
1
6
6-6
100%
4-10
7-13
40%
53%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.0
34.3
27.8
11
70%
1
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.7
19.4
21.8
3
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.8
27.8
24.6
13
81%
8
2
1
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
3-5
60%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
20.2
10.5
6
75%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
17.1
23.6
5
63%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.8
9.9
15.9
2
33%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
62%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
6.2
0
1-2
48%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.6
4.8
0
0-0
36%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.9
4.6
0
0-1
49%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.1
3.2
0
0-0
44%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.1
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.