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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
May 10, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Heat
90
17Nets
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.4
40
38
28
8
5
1
2
1
2
0
8
9-10
90%
5-8
8-13
63%
58%
3-7
43%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.1
37
34
12
5
0
1
1
3
0
3
2
2-3
67%
5-9
4-8
56%
53%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.3
36
34
20
2
3
3
1
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
9-16
7-13
56%
52%
0-2
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.0
26
32
3
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.7
20
20
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.8
28
26
9
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
5-6
83%
2-5
1-3
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
17
20
3
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-3
33%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.8
15
12
2
4
0
0
0
2
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
61%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.8
11
16
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.6
9
3
9
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
36%
3-3
100%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.9
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.1
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
40
34
9
3
11
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-9
3-7
22%
48%
1-2
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.9
34
38
19
3
6
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
5-10
67%
48%
5-7
71%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 28.7
30
28
12
4
5
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 36.6
29
30
14
4
1
2
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
2-3
67%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 38.0
23
19
10
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
5-6
2-5
83%
48%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
20
10
15
10
0
0
0
0
1
4
6
5-6
83%
5-10
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 28.6
19
22
12
6
0
1
0
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
4-7
57%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.2
19
5
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.6
18
20
8
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.9
6
18
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.2
2
10
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
60%
0-0
-
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 25.4
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 35.4
1
0
0-0
43%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 26.1
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.