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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 6, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Trail Blazers
92
2Spurs
116
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.8
41
39
32
14
0
2
1
0
2
3
11
8-9
89%
12-25
10-21
48%
45%
0-0
-
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.8
37
42
17
4
3
0
1
0
6
2
2
5-6
83%
6-14
4-8
43%
43%
0-1
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.4
36
40
7
5
0
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
50%
1-5
20%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.6
34
38
8
4
1
1
1
0
3
1
3
4-5
80%
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
0-3
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.1
28
35
10
11
0
1
0
2
0
4
7
6-7
86%
2-5
4-9
40%
51%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.4
28
21
6
1
4
0
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
42%
0-3
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.1
9
11
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.3
8
1
9
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
3-3
100%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 28.4
5
7
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.2
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 34.9
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.2
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
55%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 25.7
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.0
36
34
33
3
9
1
1
0
6
1
2
6-7
86%
12-23
8-15
52%
50%
1-1
100%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
33
32
16
9
1
4
2
0
0
1
8
3-5
60%
5-9
4-7
56%
56%
1-4
25%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.3
29
24
5
5
0
3
1
0
0
3
2
1-1
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.0
24
33
12
11
1
0
1
2
0
4
7
2-2
100%
5-9
6-12
56%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
15
27
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
28
10
19
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-4
1-2
100%
48%
3-5
60%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.1
20
24
6
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
54%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.8
18
25
2
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.4
15
4
10
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-6
1-1
83%
50%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
12
17
10
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.1
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
3
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.9
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.