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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 12, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
92
8Trail Blazers
103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
27
30
11
7
3
2
1
2
0
1
6
1-2
50%
5-8
4-7
63%
56%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.0
27
35
12
9
2
0
1
1
0
0
9
0-0
-
6-13
6-12
46%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.0
27
35
14
0
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-4
50%
6-12
8-16
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.4
22
28
6
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
54%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
22
21
9
3
0
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
1-7
14%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
25
18
8
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
7
2-2
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.1
21
22
12
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
6-7
2-4
86%
53%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.8
20
26
2
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.7
14
12
10
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.4
14
5
3
7
0
2
0
0
0
4
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
7
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.1
7
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
7
2
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
55%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.6
38
38
10
8
1
1
1
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
2-7
29%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.8
38
41
25
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
9-15
4-10
60%
44%
2-6
33%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.4
36
42
14
14
8
1
1
1
5
2
12
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
2-4
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.1
34
33
9
13
1
1
0
0
1
6
7
1-3
33%
4-12
4-8
33%
52%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.8
32
40
19
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
8-16
10-22
50%
46%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.3
30
9
17
6
2
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
6-11
1-3
55%
44%
1-2
50%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.2
24
10
9
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
45%
0-0
-
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 34.9
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 25.7
6
0
0-1
49%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 28.4
3
0
0-0
45%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.2
1
0
0-0
48%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.3
1
0
0-0
46%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.