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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
May 7, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Clippers45%104101
5Thunder55%106112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 25.1
35.5
35.7
15
48%
6
3
1
1
1
2
2
4
5-6
83%
5-13
8-16
38%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.0
31.4
33.3
17
56%
5
10
3
2
0
3
3
2
3-5
60%
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
2-5
40%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.8
29.4
34.3
7
72%
8
1
1
1
0
3
0
8
1-2
50%
3-4
4-6
75%
63%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29.9
29.2
27.1
18
83%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
5-6
2-5
83%
48%
2-4
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 34.2
28.8
29.2
11
69%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
3-7
43%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 34.1
21.9
23.1
7
25%
1
3
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
44%
1-7
14%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.7
21.6
20.4
13
61%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-6
83%
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 28.3
13.2
9.7
10
71%
6
0
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-7
1-3
71%
43%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.0
13.1
9.5
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 28.8
12.4
7.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
3.5
2.6
3
75%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
1-2
50%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
3.0
0
0-0
46%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 29.6
1.3
0
0-0
57%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 35.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
43.3
39.4
32
60%
12
9
2
1
0
4
3
9
9-11
82%
7-13
7-14
54%
52%
3-9
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
40.8
35.2
31
64%
10
10
3
2
0
4
6
4
3-5
60%
11-18
7-14
61%
47%
2-4
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
34.1
29.2
14
60%
7
1
0
0
1
2
1
6
2-4
50%
6-10
4-8
60%
54%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.5
25.3
14.8
8
51%
9
0
0
0
0
2
3
6
2-2
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
21.8
10.6
14
78%
0
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
0-1
100%
49%
2-5
40%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.1
26.0
28.3
3
30%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.8
17.2
18.1
6
75%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.7
13.2
16.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-2
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.1
12.8
28.8
4
40%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.5
4.2
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.9
1.4
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
5.7
0
0-1
48%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.2
0.4
0
0-0
40%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.4
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.