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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 11, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder31%10299
1Clippers69%109101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
44.9
43.0
40
63%
7
3
2
1
2
8
1
6
15-18
83%
11-17
8-16
65%
52%
1-7
14%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
38.6
37.5
27
55%
6
8
3
2
0
4
1
5
6-6
100%
9-18
7-15
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
32.9
30.5
8
68%
5
1
0
0
4
2
1
4
2-2
100%
0-3
4-8
0%
53%
2-2
100%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.5
25.7
20.8
1
17%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
21.5
15.5
4
50%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.1
25.3
25.7
10
63%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.2
25.0
24.7
6
38%
6
2
0
1
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
1-5
20%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.8
11.9
17.4
1
28%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-4
25%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.5
9.2
7.5
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.8
5.0
12.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.9
2.7
0
0-1
46%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
2.3
0
0-0
46%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.2
0.6
0
0-0
57%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.4
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.0
45.0
36.3
23
46%
5
10
4
2
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
10-19
4-9
53%
49%
0-4
0%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 25.2
39.8
38.3
25
52%
9
2
1
1
0
3
4
5
9-11
82%
8-19
9-17
42%
52%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.8
31.9
34.8
7
43%
14
1
2
1
2
1
3
11
1-7
14%
3-5
4-6
60%
64%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 34.2
21.3
32.7
0
0%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
54%
0-4
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29.9
18.0
25.0
6
36%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
1-3
33%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 34.1
34.3
23.4
18
53%
5
3
2
1
2
3
2
3
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
45%
2-8
25%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.7
22.8
16.3
18
65%
7
1
0
1
0
0
2
5
4-4
100%
7-11
2-4
64%
48%
0-1
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.1
14.3
7.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 28.4
12.7
10.5
4
67%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 28.8
8.5
0
1-1
50%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
1.7
0
0-0
46%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 23.2
1.1
0
0-0
46%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 29.6
0.4
0
0-0
57%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 35.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.