Final Win Prob. pScore
1033%89
92
567%95
117
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo Pacers
105.78794.0
MIA logo Heat
136.08680.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0IND92
117
Q4 - 0:00.0INDSloan 49' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)92
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)89
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAHEAT Rebound89
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDMISS Sloan 18' Step Back Jump Shot89
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHEAT Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#10)89
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0INDButler 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Sloan 3 AST)89
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:07INDMISS Sloan 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:16INDButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:26INDAllen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Sloan 2 AST)87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:37MIADouglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)85
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:51INDSloan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:51INDPacers Rebound84
114
Q4 - 1:51INDMISS Sloan Free Throw 1 of 284
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:51MIAOden S.FOUL (P1.PN)84
114
Q4 - 2:09MIAHaslem 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Oden 1 AST)84
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23INDCopeland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sloan 1 AST)84
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Douglas 3 AST)81
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:55INDCopeland Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)81
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)80
109
Q4 - 2:55MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)80
109
Q4 - 2:55INDCopeland 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)80
109
Q4 - 3:10MIADouglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)78
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25INDOden STEAL (1 STL)78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37INDPacers Rebound78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIAOden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48INDMISS Sloan Free Throw 2 of 278
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIASUB: Battier FOR Chalmers78
106
Q4 - 3:48INDSloan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.PN)77
106
Q4 - 3:59MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19INDWatson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33INDSUB: Allen FOR G. Hill75
104
Q4 - 4:33INDSUB: Butler FOR Hibbert75
104
Q4 - 4:33INDSUB: Sloan FOR George75
104
Q4 - 4:33MIASUB: Oden FOR Battier75
104
Q4 - 4:33MIASUB: Jones FOR Allen75
104
Q4 - 4:33MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)75
104
Q4 - 4:33MIADouglas P.FOUL (P1.T4)75
104
Q4 - 4:49MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)75
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11INDMISS George 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54INDGeorge 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (29 PTS)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09MIAAllen P.FOUL (P3.T3)72
99
Q4 - 6:26MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34MIAHEAT Rebound72
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh72
97
Q4 - 6:35MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Driving Layup72
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)72
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:01MIAMISS Bosh 19' Step Back Jump Shot69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:43INDGeorge 3' Driving Dunk (23 PTS) (Hibbert 3 AST)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:00INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:01MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 167
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:01INDSUB: Copeland FOR West67
97
Q4 - 8:01MIASUB: Douglas FOR Wade67
97
Q4 - 8:0167
97
Q4 - 8:01INDWest S.FOUL (P6.T1)67
97
Q4 - 8:01MIABosh 1' Layup (25 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)67
97
Q4 - 8:26INDG. Hill 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:29INDMISS G. Hill 6' Jump Shot65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:42MIABosh Tip Shot (23 PTS)65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot65
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:04MIAHEAT Rebound65
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:04INDMISS George 7' Floating Jump Shot65
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:21INDSUB: G. Hill FOR Stephenson65
93
Q4 - 9:21MIABattier Foul Turnover (P1.T8)65
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:21MIABattier OFF.Foul (P3)65
93
Q4 - 9:42INDGeorge 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)65
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:47MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)63
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:02INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:02INDSUB: West FOR Copeland62
93
Q4 - 10:02INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:02MIABattier S.FOUL (P2.T2)61
93
Q4 - 10:11INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Chalmers 13' Jump Shot61
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:33INDWade STEAL (2 STL)61
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:58MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)61
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 11:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:06INDMISS Watson 4' Floating Jump Shot61
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:13INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:14MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:40INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)61
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:40MIABattier S.FOUL (P1.T1)60
91
Q4 - 11:40INDGeorge 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
91
Q4 - 12:0058
91
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA58
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound58
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot58
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)58
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0INDMISS Copeland 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)58
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)58
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0INDWest P.FOUL (P5.PN)58
89
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0INDMISS Copeland 3' Driving Layup58
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 258
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 1:01MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 1:01INDWest S.FOUL (P4.PN)58
88
Q3 - 1:20INDG. Hill 1' Layup (7 PTS)58
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 1:25INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 1:52INDWest 7' Driving Hook Shot (16 PTS)56
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 2:08MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)54
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 2:08MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)54
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 2:08INDGeorge P.FOUL (P3.PN)54
86
Q3 - 2:17INDGeorge Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)54
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 2:17MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers53
86
Q3 - 2:17INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)53
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 2:17INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 3 (14 PTS)52
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 2:17MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P1.PN)51
86
Q3 - 2:30MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)51
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 2:52INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 2:52INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)50
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 2:52MIASUB: Battier FOR Lewis49
86
Q3 - 2:52MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)49
86
Q3 - 2:52MIAAllen S.FOUL (P2.PN)49
86
Q3 - 2:59INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot49
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 3:23MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 3:24INDLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)49
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 3:38MIASUB: Andersen FOR Bosh49
86
Q3 - 3:38INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)49
86
Q3 - 3:39MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (23 PTS)49
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 3:59INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 3:59MIASUB: Allen FOR Wade48
84
Q3 - 3:59INDPacers Rebound48
84
Q3 - 3:59INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 248
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 3:59MIALewis P.FOUL (P1.PN)48
84
Q3 - 4:07MIABosh P.FOUL (P3.T4)48
84
Q3 - 4:07INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot48
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:33INDMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:42INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 5:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 5:02INDMISS Copeland 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 5:13MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T3)48
84
Q3 - 5:29MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)48
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 5:29MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)48
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q3 - 5:29INDCopeland S.FOUL (P1.PN)48
82
Q3 - 5:37INDBosh STEAL (1 STL)48
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 5:54MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)48
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 5:54MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)48
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 5:54INDWest L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)48
80
Q3 - 5:54MIAHEAT Rebound48
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 5:54INDMISS G. Hill Free Throw 2 of 248
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 5:54INDPacers Rebound48
80
Q3 - 5:54INDMISS G. Hill Free Throw 1 of 248
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 5:54MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P3.T2)48
80
Q3 - 6:02INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 6:16INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)48
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 6:33MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)48
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 6:33INDSUB: Copeland FOR Hibbert48
79
Q3 - 6:33MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)48
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 6:33INDHibbert S.FOUL (P4.T4)48
78
Q3 - 6:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 6:41INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 6:55MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)48
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 7:07INDStephenson P.FOUL (P3.T3)48
75
Q3 - 7:16INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (G. Hill 3 AST)48
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 7:19INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 7:20INDMISS West 15' Jump Shot45
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 7:35MIAWade 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS)45
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 7:48INDWade STEAL (1 STL)45
0.6%
73
99.4%
Q3 - 8:07MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)45
73
Q3 - 8:07MIAJump Ball Chalmers vs. G. Hill: Tip to George45
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 8:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 8:10INDMISS Stephenson 12' Jump Shot45
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 8:34INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)45
73
Q3 - 8:34MIABosh 2' Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (James 6 AST)45
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 8:47INDLewis STEAL (1 STL)45
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 8:57INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 8:58MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 145
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 8:58INDHibbert S.FOUL (P3.T2)45
71
Q3 - 8:58MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)45
71
Q3 - 9:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 9:10INDMISS George 21' Jump Shot45
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 9:21MIAJames 23' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)45
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 9:46INDWest 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)45
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 10:04MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)43
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 10:04MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)43
1.6%
66
98.4%
Q3 - 10:04INDHibbert S.FOUL (P2.T1)43
65
Q3 - 10:15INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)43
1.8%
65
98.2%
Q3 - 10:15MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T1)42
65
Q3 - 10:15INDG. Hill 5' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
65
Q3 - 10:26MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 5 AST)40
1.4%
65
98.6%
Q3 - 10:49INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q3 - 10:54MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
1.4%
62
98.6%
Q3 - 10:56INDChalmers STEAL (1 STL)37
1.2%
62
98.8%
Q3 - 11:00INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
1.4%
62
98.6%
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup37
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 11:19INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)37
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q3 - 11:42MIAChalmers 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q3 - 12:0034
60
Q2 - 0:00.0IND34
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound34
1.3%
60
98.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS West 3PT Jump Shot34
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T4)34
60
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)34
1.5%
60
98.5%
Q2 - 0:13.0INDSUB: Copeland FOR Hibbert34
59
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)34
1.6%
59
98.4%
Q2 - 0:13.0INDWest S.FOUL (P2.T4)34
58
Q2 - 0:31.0INDHibbert 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (George 2 AST)34
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)32
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAAndersen 2' Tip Shot (8 PTS)32
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Lewis 2' Layup32
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q2 - 1:08MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q2 - 1:09INDMISS West 21' Jump Shot32
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q2 - 1:18INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
2.2%
56
97.8%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q2 - 1:42INDWest 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)32
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q2 - 1:58MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)30
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q2 - 2:09MIASUB: Andersen FOR Bosh30
53
Q2 - 2:09INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
2.4%
53
97.6%
Q2 - 2:31MIABosh Dunk (13 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)30
2.7%
53
97.3%
Q2 - 2:43INDGeorge P.FOUL (P2.T3)30
51
Q2 - 2:59INDG. Hill 2' Layup (2 PTS) (George 1 AST)30
3.0%
51
97.0%
Q2 - 3:11MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)28
2.9%
51
97.1%
Q2 - 3:19INDStephenson Violation:Kicked Ball28
49
Q2 - 3:35INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
3.2%
49
96.8%
Q2 - 3:35INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
3.1%
49
96.9%
Q2 - 3:35MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.T3)26
49
Q2 - 3:39INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
2.9%
49
97.1%
Q2 - 3:40INDMISS G. Hill 11' Floating Jump Shot26
2.7%
49
97.3%
Q2 - 3:55MIASUB: Allen FOR Wade26
49
Q2 - 3:55INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)26
49
Q2 - 3:55MIAWade 1' Layup (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)26
2.9%
49
97.1%
Q2 - 3:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
3.2%
47
96.8%
Q2 - 3:57INDMISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 4:09INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
4.0%
47
96.0%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS Wade 12' Step Back Jump Shot26
3.8%
47
96.2%
Q2 - 4:19INDJames STEAL (1 STL)26
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q2 - 4:42MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)26
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q2 - 5:02INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
5.1%
44
94.9%
Q2 - 5:02MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole25
44
Q2 - 5:02INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
5.0%
44
95.0%
Q2 - 5:02MIACole S.FOUL (P1.T2)24
44
Q2 - 5:16MIAWade 15' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)24
4.6%
44
95.4%
Q2 - 5:29MIASUB: James FOR Battier24
42
Q2 - 5:29MIASUB: Lewis FOR Allen24
42
Q2 - 5:29MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)24
42
Q2 - 5:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
5.1%
42
94.9%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot24
5.5%
42
94.5%
Q2 - 5:56INDWest 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST)24
5.1%
42
94.9%
Q2 - 6:12MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
4.9%
42
95.1%
Q2 - 6:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 6:28INDMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 6:38MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T1)22
39
Q2 - 6:49MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 6:57MIAHEAT Rebound22
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 6:58INDMISS George 3PT Jump Shot22
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 7:13INDSUB: Hibbert FOR Watson22
39
Q2 - 7:13INDSUB: G. Hill FOR Scola22
39
Q2 - 7:13INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)22
39
Q2 - 7:13MIABosh 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)22
7.0%
39
93.0%
Q2 - 7:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
7.6%
37
92.4%
Q2 - 7:30MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
8.2%
37
91.8%
Q2 - 7:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
7.6%
37
92.4%
Q2 - 7:46INDMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot22
7.8%
37
92.2%
Q2 - 7:58INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
8.5%
37
91.5%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot22
8.2%
37
91.8%
Q2 - 8:17INDWest 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)22
7.9%
37
92.1%
Q2 - 8:35MIABosh 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)20
7.2%
37
92.8%
Q2 - 8:47MIACole Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
7.8%
35
92.2%
Q2 - 8:47MIACole Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
8.0%
34
92.0%
Q2 - 8:47IND20
33
Q2 - 8:47INDStephenson FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P2.T2)20
33
Q2 - 9:10INDStephenson 10' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)20
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q2 - 9:27INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)18
33
Q2 - 9:36MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)18
8.9%
33
91.1%
Q2 - 9:50INDSUB: George FOR Mahinmi18
30
Q2 - 9:50INDSUB: West FOR Butler18
30
Q2 - 9:50MIASUB: Bosh FOR Andersen18
30
Q2 - 9:50MIASUB: Wade FOR James18
30
Q2 - 9:50INDStephenson P.FOUL (P1.T1)18
30
Q2 - 10:13INDScola 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
10.8%
30
89.2%
Q2 - 10:33MIAAndersen 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)16
10.0%
30
90.0%
Q2 - 11:00INDStephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)16
10.8%
28
89.2%
Q2 - 11:10MIAJames 12' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)13
9.4%
28
90.6%
Q2 - 11:20MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)13
10.2%
26
89.8%
Q2 - 11:22INDMISS Scola 6' Jump Shot13
10.5%
26
89.5%
Q2 - 11:46MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)13
11.2%
26
88.8%
Q2 - 12:0013
24
Q1 - 0:00.0IND13
12.1%
24
87.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS George 40' 3PT Jump Shot13
12.4%
24
87.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound13
12.1%
24
87.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)13
13.3%
24
86.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
16.0%
21
84.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0INDMISS G. Hill 28' 3PT Jump Shot13
16.2%
21
83.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot13
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
15.9%
21
84.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDMISS George 15' Fadeaway Jumper13
16.2%
21
83.8%
Q1 - 1:01MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)13
17.1%
21
82.9%
Q1 - 1:09MIASUB: Battier FOR Lewis13
19
Q1 - 1:22MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
18.8%
19
81.2%
Q1 - 1:24INDMISS Scola 6' Jump Shot13
19.1%
19
80.9%
Q1 - 1:47MIALewis 4' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)13
19.8%
19
80.2%
Q1 - 2:11INDSUB: Watson FOR Stephenson13
17
Q1 - 2:11INDSUB: Scola FOR West13
17
Q1 - 2:11INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
21.7%
17
78.3%
Q1 - 2:20INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
23.2%
17
76.8%
Q1 - 2:21INDJames BLOCK (1 BLK)13
22.2%
17
77.8%
Q1 - 2:27MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
23.2%
17
76.8%
Q1 - 2:36MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
21.7%
17
78.3%
Q1 - 2:37INDMISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
22.2%
17
77.8%
Q1 - 2:52MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
23.2%
17
76.8%
Q1 - 2:52MIAAndersen 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)13
23.2%
17
76.8%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Allen 8' Step Back Jump Shot13
26.1%
15
73.9%
Q1 - 3:07MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers13
15
Q1 - 3:07MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
15
Q1 - 3:16INDStephenson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
24.7%
15
75.3%
Q1 - 3:39MIALewis 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
21.7%
15
78.3%
Q1 - 4:01MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
23.6%
13
76.4%
Q1 - 4:02INDMISS George Free Throw 2 of 210
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 4:02INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
24.9%
13
75.1%
Q1 - 4:02MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.T3)9
13
Q1 - 4:04INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Lewis 1' Driving Layup9
23.3%
13
76.7%
Q1 - 4:26INDGeorge L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)9
13
Q1 - 4:27MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
22.4%
13
77.6%
Q1 - 4:27INDMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
22.8%
13
77.2%
Q1 - 4:38MIASUB: Andersen FOR Bosh9
13
Q1 - 4:38MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T2)9
13
Q1 - 4:43MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)9
24.0%
13
76.0%
Q1 - 4:43INDWest S.FOUL (P1.T1)9
12
Q1 - 4:43MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)9
12
Q1 - 4:46MIASUB: Allen FOR Wade9
10
Q1 - 5:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
26.8%
10
73.2%
Q1 - 5:03INDBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)9
27.3%
10
72.7%
Q1 - 5:24MIAJames Driving Layup (6 PTS)9
28.5%
10
71.5%
Q1 - 5:35MIAHEAT Rebound9
29.9%
8
70.1%
Q1 - 5:35INDBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)9
30.4%
8
69.6%
Q1 - 5:42INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)9
8
Q1 - 5:43MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
31.5%
8
68.5%
Q1 - 5:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 5:57INDMISS Hibbert 6' Jump Shot9
33.5%
6
66.5%
Q1 - 6:06MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T1)9
6
Q1 - 6:12INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
33.6%
6
66.4%
Q1 - 6:24MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
32.5%
6
67.5%
Q1 - 6:25INDMISS Hibbert 9' Hook Shot9
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 6:47MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)9
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 6:57INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)9
35.5%
4
64.5%
Q1 - 7:22MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)9
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 7:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 7:27MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot9
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 7:53INDWest 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)9
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 8:07INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 8:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 8:17INDMISS George 19' Jump Shot7
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 8:34INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup7
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 8:46INDWest 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)7
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 9:09MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 9:21INDStephenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)5
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 9:32INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 9:33MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot2
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:00INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 10:00INDHibbert OFF.Foul (P1)2
2
Q1 - 10:08INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 10:09MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot2
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 10:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 10:32INDMISS George 12' Floating Jump Shot2
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 11:00MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 11:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
32.1%
0
67.9%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS James 1' Layup2
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.1%
0
67.9%
Q1 - 11:06INDMISS Stephenson 13' Jump Shot2
32.2%
0
67.8%
Q1 - 11:16INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.5%
0
67.5%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot2
32.5%
0
67.5%
Q1 - 11:42INDWest 3' Layup (2 PTS)2
32.6%
0
67.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Hibbert: Tip to G. Hill0
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.12 56.1%
MIA
1.33 66.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
12
17
71%
MIA
23
29
79%
Midrange
IND
10
27
37%
MIA
10
21
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
MIA
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
Free Throws
IND
18
24
75%
MIA
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George2966%14.5 / 22
D. West1673%8.0 / 11
L. Stephenson1161%5.5 / 9
G. Hill938%4.5 / 12
R. Hibbert867%4.0 / 6
C. Copeland650%3.0 / 6
D. Sloan550%2.5 / 5
C. Watson250%1.0 / 2
L. Scola225%1.0 / 4
R. Butler2100%1.0 / 1
L. Allen2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2578%12.5 / 16
C. Bosh2578%12.5 / 16
R. Lewis1359%6.5 / 11
D. Wade1354%6.5 / 12
C. Andersen990%4.5 / 5
S. Battier8100%4.0 / 4
T. Douglas6150%3.0 / 2
U. Haslem6100%3.0 / 3
M. Chalmers433%2.0 / 6
R. Allen338%1.5 / 4
J. Jones350%1.5 / 3
N. Cole250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
76
+5
-11
81
MIA
77
+10
-9
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.12 56.1%
MIA
1.33 66.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
14
102.7
4
112.7
IND 105.7
MIA 136.0 +30.3
Pace
11
89.3
15
86.4
IND 94.0 +13.9
MIA 80.1
Avg. Poss. Time
18
16.3
15
16.9
IND 15.3 −2.7
MIA 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
6
50.0%
1
55.5%
IND 53.6%
MIA 65.1% +11.5%
TO %
11
14.2%
4
13.0%
IND 13.1%
MIA 11.4% −1.7%
ORB %
13
21.2%
16
17.1%
IND 12.1%
MIA 25.0% +12.9%
FTrt
8
31.4
10
30.5
IND 34.8 +7.2
MIA 27.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
8
55.9%
13
51.6%
IND 43.8%
MIA 54.5% +10.7%
STL %
6
8.0%
4
8.5%
IND 5.7%
MIA 8.1% +2.4%
BLK %
7
8.1%
10
7.5%
IND 4.0%
MIA 9.1% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
11
51.7%
1
57.3%
IND 56.1%
MIA 66.5% +10.4%
Rim FG%
8
59.3%
1
66.6%
IND 70.6%
MIA 79.3% +8.7%
Mid FG%
9
38.4%
6
41.2%
IND 37.0%
MIA 47.6% +10.6%
3P %
3
38.0%
2
39.6%
IND 40.0%
MIA 42.3% +2.3%
FT %
14
72.7%
5
78.0%
IND 75.0%
MIA 85.7% +10.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
13
32.8%
12
33.0%
IND 24.6%
MIA 38.2% +13.5%
Mid Att. %
13
41.4%
5
34.4%
IND 39.1%
MIA 27.6% −11.5%
3P Att. %
13
25.8%
2
32.6%
IND 36.2% +2.0%
MIA 34.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions8786
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points92117
Rebounds2837
Assists1424
Steals57
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)29 (6)
Field Goals32-6944-76
At-the-Rim FG12-1723-29
Midrange FG10-2710-21
2-Point FG22-4433-50
3-Point FG10-2511-26
Free Throws18-2418-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 24
41.3
29
66%
8
2
2
1
1
3
0
8
8-10
80%
3-8
38%
5-10
50%
G · 6'6" 230 · 24
36.5
11
61%
4
1
0
0
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
G · 6'3" 188 · 28
36.0
9
38%
7
3
2
0
2
0
2
5
1-3
33%
4-8
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 34
33.7
16
73%
4
1
0
0
3
6
0
4
0-0
-
8-10
80%
0-1
0%
C · 7'2" 270 · 27
31.9
8
67%
3
3
0
1
2
4
2
1
6-6
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 30
19.0
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 239 · 30
16.8
6
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 241 · 34
7.0
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 35
6.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 26
4.5
5
50%
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25
4.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26
#17 · C · 7'0" 285 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
56%
28
14
5
2
11
0
4
24
18-24
75%
22-44
50%
10-25
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.