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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 30, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pacers
92
4Heat
117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.1
41
41
29
8
2
2
2
1
1
0
8
8-10
80%
3-8
4-10
38%
44%
5-10
50%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.7
36
39
11
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
50%
3-6
50%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.1
36
36
9
7
3
2
1
0
2
2
5
1-3
33%
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
0-3
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.7
34
37
16
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
8-10
6-13
80%
47%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.5
32
33
8
3
3
0
0
1
2
2
1
6-6
100%
1-3
4-9
33%
44%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.1
19
17
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 30.2
17
1
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 34.1
7
14
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.0
7
8
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.4
5
1
5
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25.3
5
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.6
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
2
0
0-1
42%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.6
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.0
32
29
4
2
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.4
32
31
25
4
6
1
1
1
2
1
3
9-9
100%
8-12
6-10
67%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.2
29
36
25
8
0
1
1
2
0
3
5
4-6
67%
9-12
4-8
75%
52%
1-2
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.8
25
25
13
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.4
25
38
13
6
6
2
2
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
5-9
7-14
56%
51%
1-3
33%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.9
27
24
3
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.7
22
10
8
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
43%
2-3
67%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.9
13
22
9
10
0
0
0
0
0
2
8
1-2
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
61%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
12
23
2
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-2
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.2
8
2
6
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
2-2
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.0
7
12
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.4
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.7
5
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
29%
1-3
33%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.