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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder
105
2Spurs
122
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
41
43
28
9
5
0
1
1
6
1
8
4-4
100%
6-12
8-15
50%
50%
4-7
57%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
36
39
25
5
7
0
2
0
4
2
3
6-8
75%
8-17
7-15
47%
45%
1-4
25%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.5
24
16
5
9
0
0
0
0
3
4
5
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
16
16
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.6
16
12
0
3
1
2
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.1
28
29
13
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
46%
1-2
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.8
26
11
16
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
0-0
0-1
-
37%
4-6
67%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.2
25
15
9
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
4-6
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
1-4
25%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.8
17
28
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.0
7
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.5
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
1-1
100%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.3
1
0
0-0
56%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 20.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
39
31
16
6
2
3
2
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
6-12
4-7
50%
56%
1-4
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.0
36
22
14
3
12
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
6-11
5-10
55%
49%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.1
29
33
27
7
3
0
1
0
1
2
5
5-6
83%
11-19
6-12
58%
48%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
27
27
16
4
1
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
4-5
80%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.4
19
27
6
8
0
0
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.8
27
21
18
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
50%
3-4
75%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.1
20
21
9
3
3
1
0
0
2
2
1
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
53%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
16
18
5
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.8
14
19
5
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.4
7
8
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
2
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.1
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
2
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.0
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.