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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
May 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder
77
2Spurs
112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
29
37
15
5
5
2
2
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
6-19
7-14
32%
45%
1-5
20%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
29
41
15
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-5
60%
6-12
7-14
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.5
15
21
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.6
13
14
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.1
10
16
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.8
33
21
9
8
1
0
1
1
2
5
3
1-4
25%
4-5
2-3
80%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.1
26
28
8
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
24
2
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.8
22
19
2
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
37%
0-2
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.2
19
21
9
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
40%
1-3
33%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.0
14
5
13
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
6-7
1-1
86%
45%
0-1
0%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.5
7
5
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.3
1
0
0-0
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 20.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.1
29
30
14
12
1
0
1
2
2
4
8
4-4
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
28
27
21
3
1
3
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
7-10
70%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.0
28
31
22
2
5
2
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
10-16
7-13
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.4
24
22
9
10
4
0
1
3
1
1
9
5-5
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
16
36
4
1
4
1
2
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
5-9
50%
56%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.1
24
20
11
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.8
21
25
11
3
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
19
16
8
7
2
0
0
0
4
1
6
2-2
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.8
16
15
0
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.4
12
7
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
9
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.1
7
3
0
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
7
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
54%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.