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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 27, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
92
4Thunder
105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.0
26
28
14
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
7-11
6-13
64%
49%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
25
29
10
5
1
0
2
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
4-7
25%
55%
2-5
40%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.1
25
29
9
6
4
0
1
0
0
3
3
3-4
75%
3-8
6-12
38%
47%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.4
19
20
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
15
27
3
2
0
2
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.1
30
21
14
10
3
0
0
0
2
1
9
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
52%
2-6
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
25
17
7
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
17
6
11
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
4-7
1-2
57%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.1
16
6
8
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
2-3
67%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.5
12
11
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.8
11
23
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
1-4
25%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
10
5
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.8
10
14
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
0-5
0%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
45
35
40
5
10
5
2
1
3
1
4
14-14
100%
10-19
6-14
53%
46%
2-5
40%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
41
36
31
5
5
3
1
1
0
0
5
7-9
78%
9-18
7-13
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
35
29
9
8
1
1
0
3
1
1
7
1-4
25%
4-7
4-7
57%
54%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.5
22
15
2
10
1
0
0
2
1
2
8
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.1
13
33
3
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.9
26
27
4
6
0
0
1
1
0
0
6
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.2
23
19
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.0
19
14
7
3
0
3
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
47%
1-2
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.8
9
18
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
38%
1-1
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.6
5
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
1
7
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.1
6
0
0-1
49%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.3
3
0
0-0
53%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.5
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.