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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
June 10, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
111
4Heat
92
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
39
30
29
4
2
2
1
2
1
1
3
6-7
86%
7-7
4-7
100%
55%
3-6
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.2
37
31
9
5
3
1
1
1
2
0
5
2-4
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.1
33
33
15
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
3-7
6-13
43%
49%
1-3
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.1
30
35
14
6
2
0
1
0
4
2
4
6-8
75%
4-7
6-13
57%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
21
22
15
1
3
5
1
1
2
0
1
0-1
0%
6-6
1-2
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.9
27
28
11
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.4
16
20
6
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.8
15
15
5
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.2
10
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
6
20
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.5
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.7
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.4
40
35
22
5
7
5
1
0
7
1
4
2-3
67%
7-10
7-13
70%
57%
2-4
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.4
36
33
22
4
2
2
1
0
5
1
3
6-8
75%
8-11
6-12
73%
51%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.2
34
35
9
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
4-8
100%
52%
1-1
100%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.8
33
26
14
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
4-5
80%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.1
22
28
2
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.9
28
31
11
2
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
3-3
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
2-4
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.9
20
21
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
3
3-4
75%
0-1
2-4
0%
60%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.7
18
16
8
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-7
1-2
29%
43%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.7
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
36%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.8
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-1
0%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.2
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.