Final Win Prob. pScore
532%95
87
268%102
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
98.98893.9
SAS logo Spurs
118.28882.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
104
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound87
104
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
104
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHeat Rebound87
104
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup87
104
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
104
Q4 - 0:14.0SASMISS Joseph 19' Jump Shot87
104
Q4 - 0:37.0MIADouglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)87
104
Q4 - 0:42.0SASAyres 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)84
104
Q4 - 1:01SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
102
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
102
Q4 - 1:09MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
102
Q4 - 1:10SASMISS Joseph 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
102
Q4 - 1:30MIAHaslem 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)84
102
Q4 - 1:39SASBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)82
102
Q4 - 1:39SASBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)82
101
Q4 - 1:39MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)82
100
Q4 - 1:39SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
100
Q4 - 1:39SASMISS Belinelli Layup82
100
Q4 - 1:53MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
100
Q4 - 1:53SASSUB: Baynes FOR Diaw81
100
Q4 - 1:53SASSUB: Bonner FOR Parker81
100
Q4 - 1:53MIAHeat Rebound81
100
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 281
100
Q4 - 1:53SASAyres S.FOUL (P1.PN)81
100
Q4 - 2:10SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)81
100
Q4 - 2:10SASSUB: Joseph FOR Ginobili81
99
Q4 - 2:10MIASUB: Douglas FOR Chalmers81
99
Q4 - 2:10SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)81
99
Q4 - 2:10MIAChalmers Personal Take Foul (P1.PN)81
98
Q4 - 2:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)81
98
Q4 - 2:12SASSUB: Ayres FOR Duncan80
98
Q4 - 2:12MIASUB: Jones FOR Allen80
98
Q4 - 2:12MIAHeat Rebound80
98
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 280
98
Q4 - 2:12SASSUB: Belinelli FOR Leonard80
98
Q4 - 2:1280
98
Q4 - 2:12SASLeonard P.FOUL (P6.PN)80
98
Q4 - 2:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
98
Q4 - 2:24SASMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
98
Q4 - 2:43SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
98
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot80
98
Q4 - 2:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
98
Q4 - 2:59SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot80
98
Q4 - 3:17MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
98
Q4 - 3:17SASSUB: Leonard FOR Mills79
98
Q4 - 3:17MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh79
98
Q4 - 3:17SASSUB: Diaw FOR Belinelli79
98
Q4 - 3:17MIASUB: Cole FOR Wade79
98
Q4 - 3:17MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)79
98
Q4 - 3:17SASGinobili P.FOUL (P3.PN)78
98
Q4 - 3:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
98
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Bosh 24' Jump Shot78
98
Q4 - 3:43SASBelinelli 10' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)78
98
Q4 - 3:59MIABeasley 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)78
96
Q4 - 4:14SASParker 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)76
96
Q4 - 4:32MIABeasley 1' Layup (6 PTS)76
94
Q4 - 4:53SASParker 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)74
94
Q4 - 5:13MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
92
Q4 - 5:38SASParker 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)72
92
Q4 - 5:44SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
90
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Bosh 2' Alley Oop Layup72
90
Q4 - 5:50SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)72
90
Q4 - 6:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
90
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 272
90
Q4 - 6:13SASSUB: Belinelli FOR Diaw72
90
Q4 - 6:13MIAHeat Rebound72
90
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 272
90
Q4 - 6:13SASDiaw S.FOUL (P1.T4)72
90
Q4 - 6:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
90
Q4 - 6:18SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot72
90
Q4 - 6:30SASSUB: Mills FOR Green72
90
Q4 - 6:30MIASUB: Allen FOR James72
90
Q4 - 6:30MIASUB: Bosh FOR Andersen72
90
Q4 - 6:30SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)72
90
Q4 - 6:38SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
90
Q4 - 6:39MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
90
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Andersen 2' Layup72
90
Q4 - 6:40MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot72
90
Q4 - 6:49MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
90
Q4 - 6:51SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
90
Q4 - 6:58SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
90
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
90
Q4 - 7:10SASParker 7' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diaw 6 AST)72
90
Q4 - 7:32MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS)72
88
Q4 - 7:44SASParker 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
88
Q4 - 7:59MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 5 AST)70
86
Q4 - 8:14SASDiaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)67
86
Q4 - 8:27MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
83
Q4 - 8:27MIABeasley 1' Dunk (4 PTS)67
83
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
83
Q4 - 8:33MIAHeat Rebound65
83
Q4 - 8:33MIADuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)65
83
Q4 - 8:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
83
Q4 - 8:46SASMISS Ginobili Layup65
83
Q4 - 9:05MIAHeat Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#12)65
83
Q4 - 9:05MIASUB: Andersen FOR Bosh65
83
Q4 - 9:05MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)65
83
Q4 - 9:05SASParker 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
83
Q4 - 9:14SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
81
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
81
Q4 - 9:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
81
Q4 - 9:27SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 165
81
Q4 - 9:27MIABeasley S.FOUL (P2.T4)65
81
Q4 - 9:27SASDuncan 6' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)65
81
Q4 - 9:34MIABeasley P.FOUL (P1.T3)65
79
Q4 - 9:57MIAJames 2' Dunk (29 PTS)65
79
Q4 - 10:09SASSUB: Green FOR Leonard63
79
Q4 - 10:09SASParker Personal Take Foul (P2.T3)63
79
Q4 - 10:14SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)63
79
Q4 - 10:14SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)63
78
Q4 - 10:14MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T2)63
77
Q4 - 10:33MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)63
77
Q4 - 10:33SASLeonard S.FOUL (P5.T2)62
77
Q4 - 10:33MIAChalmers Layup (6 PTS)62
77
Q4 - 10:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)60
77
Q4 - 10:36SASMISS Diaw 20' Jump Shot60
77
Q4 - 10:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
77
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 160
77
Q4 - 10:56SASSUB: Leonard FOR Mills60
77
Q4 - 10:56SASDuncan S.FOUL (P3.T1)60
77
Q4 - 10:56MIABeasley 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)60
77
Q4 - 11:04SASDiaw Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)58
77
Q4 - 11:17SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green58
77
Q4 - 11:17MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T1)58
77
Q4 - 11:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)58
77
Q4 - 12:0058
77
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS58
77
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)58
77
Q3 - 0:01.0SASSUB: Splitter FOR Diaw57
77
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)57
77
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMills S.FOUL (P2.PN)56
77
Q3 - 0:15.0SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)56
77
Q3 - 0:35.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
75
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
75
Q3 - 0:43.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
75
Q3 - 0:44.0SASMISS Parker 1' Layup56
75
Q3 - 1:00MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)56
75
Q3 - 1:09SASDuncan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)53
75
Q3 - 1:32SASSPURS Rebound53
73
Q3 - 1:33MIADuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)53
73
Q3 - 1:43SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Green 2 AST)53
73
Q3 - 1:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
70
Q3 - 1:59SASSUB: Duncan FOR Leonard52
70
Q3 - 1:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
70
Q3 - 1:59SASLeonard S.FOUL (P4.PN)51
70
Q3 - 2:11SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)51
70
Q3 - 2:11SASJump Ball Leonard vs. Battier: Tip to James51
70
Q3 - 2:30MIABosh Driving Layup (11 PTS)51
70
Q3 - 2:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
70
Q3 - 2:39SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot49
70
Q3 - 3:01SASSUB: Green FOR Splitter49
70
Q3 - 3:01MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)49
70
Q3 - 3:11SASLeonard 20' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)49
70
Q3 - 3:21SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
68
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 249
68
Q3 - 3:22SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili49
68
Q3 - 3:22MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
68
Q3 - 3:22SASSplitter S.FOUL (P2.T4)48
68
Q3 - 3:42SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST)48
68
Q3 - 4:08SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)48
65
Q3 - 4:09MIAChalmers 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)48
65
Q3 - 4:16MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
65
Q3 - 4:18SASMISS Ginobili 13' Jump Shot46
65
Q3 - 4:39MIAJames 6' Jump Shot (22 PTS)46
65
Q3 - 5:01MIASUB: Battier FOR Haslem44
65
Q3 - 5:01MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Allen44
65
Q3 - 5:01MIASUB: Beasley FOR Wade44
65
Q3 - 5:01MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)44
65
Q3 - 5:01SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)44
65
Q3 - 5:07SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
62
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS James 14' Fadeaway Jumper44
62
Q3 - 5:29SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)44
62
Q3 - 5:38MIABosh 1' Layup (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)44
59
Q3 - 5:55SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)42
59
Q3 - 6:09SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
56
Q3 - 6:11MIASplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)42
56
Q3 - 6:21SASLeonard P.FOUL (P3.T3)42
56
Q3 - 6:35SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan42
56
Q3 - 6:35MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)42
56
Q3 - 6:36SASMills 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)42
56
Q3 - 6:50MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P4.T9)42
54
Q3 - 6:50MIAAllen OFF.Foul (P2)42
54
Q3 - 7:01SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
54
Q3 - 7:01MIASUB: Haslem FOR Andersen42
53
Q3 - 7:01SASSUB: Mills FOR Parker42
53
Q3 - 7:01SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
53
Q3 - 7:01MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P5.T4)42
52
Q3 - 7:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
52
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot42
52
Q3 - 7:38SASLeonard Layup (18 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)42
52
Q3 - 7:53MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)42
50
Q3 - 8:14SASDuncan P.FOUL (P2.T2)40
50
Q3 - 8:14MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)40
50
Q3 - 8:17MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
50
Q3 - 8:18SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 240
50
Q3 - 8:18SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)40
50
Q3 - 8:18MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T3)40
49
Q3 - 8:23MIALeonard STEAL (1 STL)40
49
Q3 - 8:35SASDuncan L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)40
49
Q3 - 8:35MIAHeat Rebound40
49
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot40
49
Q3 - 8:52SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)40
49
Q3 - 8:52SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)40
48
Q3 - 8:52MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P4.T2)40
47
Q3 - 8:55SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
47
Q3 - 8:57MIALeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)40
47
Q3 - 9:12MIAHeat Rebound40
47
Q3 - 9:12SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot40
47
Q3 - 9:23SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
47
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
47
Q3 - 9:46SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)40
47
Q3 - 10:01SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
47
Q3 - 10:02MIAMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot40
47
Q3 - 10:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)40
47
Q3 - 10:12SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
47
Q3 - 10:21MIAAndersen P.FOUL (P3.T1)40
47
Q3 - 10:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
47
Q3 - 10:35MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot40
47
Q3 - 10:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
47
Q3 - 10:59SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
47
Q3 - 11:08SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
47
Q3 - 11:10MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Bank Shot40
47
Q3 - 11:27MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
47
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot40
47
Q3 - 11:41SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P3.T4)40
47
Q3 - 12:0040
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
47
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
47
Q2 - 0:24.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
47
Q2 - 0:25.0SASMISS Green 17' Jump Shot40
47
Q2 - 0:32.0SASSPURS Rebound40
47
Q2 - 0:32.0SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot40
47
Q2 - 0:43.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
47
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
47
Q2 - 1:05SASDiaw 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)40
47
Q2 - 1:28MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
45
Q2 - 1:37MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
45
Q2 - 1:39SASMISS Diaw 1' Layup38
45
Q2 - 1:54MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)38
45
Q2 - 1:54SASSUB: Green FOR Ginobili37
45
Q2 - 1:54SASSUB: Belinelli FOR Leonard37
45
Q2 - 1:54MIAHeat Rebound37
45
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 237
45
Q2 - 1:54MIASUB: Wade FOR Haslem37
45
Q2 - 1:54MIASUB: Andersen FOR Cole37
45
Q2 - 1:54SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
45
Q2 - 1:54SASLeonard Shooting Block Foul (P2.T2)37
45
Q2 - 2:04SASGinobili 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)37
45
Q2 - 2:28MIAJames 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)37
42
Q2 - 2:46SASGinobili 1' Slam Dunk (11 PTS)35
42
Q2 - 2:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
40
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot35
40
Q2 - 3:09SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)35
40
Q2 - 3:09SASSPURS Rebound35
39
Q2 - 3:09SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 235
39
Q2 - 3:09MIACole S.FOUL (P1.T4)35
39
Q2 - 3:23SASSUB: Parker FOR Mills35
39
Q2 - 3:23MIASUB: Cole FOR Wade35
39
Q2 - 3:23MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T7)35
39
Q2 - 3:23MIAWade OFF.Foul (P1)35
39
Q2 - 3:33MIASUB: Haslem FOR Lewis35
39
Q2 - 3:33MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)35
39
Q2 - 3:39SASGinobili 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)35
39
Q2 - 3:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
37
Q2 - 3:57MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
37
Q2 - 4:08MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
37
Q2 - 4:10SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot35
37
Q2 - 4:19SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
37
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Bank Shot35
37
Q2 - 4:47SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)35
37
Q2 - 4:53SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
34
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS James 1' Layup35
34
Q2 - 5:12MIASUB: Lewis FOR Haslem35
34
Q2 - 5:14MIAHeat Rebound35
34
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS James 1' Layup35
34
Q2 - 5:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
34
Q2 - 5:41SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 135
34
Q2 - 5:41SASSUB: Mills FOR Parker35
34
Q2 - 5:41MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T3)35
34
Q2 - 5:41SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)35
34
Q2 - 5:53SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Belinelli35
32
Q2 - 5:53MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P2.T6)35
32
Q2 - 5:53MIAAllen OFF.Foul (P1)35
32
Q2 - 6:01MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
32
Q2 - 6:02SASDuncan 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
32
Q2 - 6:19SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
30
Q2 - 6:20MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot35
30
Q2 - 6:38SASBelinelli 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)35
30
Q2 - 6:44SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
28
Q2 - 6:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
28
Q2 - 6:46SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot35
28
Q2 - 6:49SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot35
28
Q2 - 7:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
28
Q2 - 7:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
28
Q2 - 7:10SASBelinelli S.FOUL (P1.T1)33
28
Q2 - 7:28SASSUB: Belinelli FOR Green33
28
Q2 - 7:28MIAHeat Rebound33
28
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS Bosh 16' Turnaround Jump Shot33
28
Q2 - 7:44SASDuncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
28
Q2 - 8:04MIASUB: Haslem FOR Andersen33
26
Q2 - 8:04MIAAndersen P.FOUL (P2.T2)33
26
Q2 - 8:15SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
26
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
26
Q2 - 8:26SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)33
26
Q2 - 8:3433
26
Q2 - 8:34MIAAllen Violation:Kicked Ball33
26
Q2 - 8:37MIADiaw STEAL (1 STL)33
26
Q2 - 8:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
26
Q2 - 8:56SASMISS Green 11' Turnaround Jump Shot33
26
Q2 - 9:17MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)33
26
Q2 - 9:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)31
26
Q2 - 9:38SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot31
26
Q2 - 9:49SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
26
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot31
26
Q2 - 9:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
26
Q2 - 9:59SASMISS Parker Layup31
26
Q2 - 10:15MIASUB: Allen FOR Cole31
26
Q2 - 10:15SASSUB: Duncan FOR Splitter31
26
Q2 - 10:15MIABosh L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)31
26
Q2 - 10:15SASSPURS Rebound31
26
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
26
Q2 - 10:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)31
26
Q2 - 10:30SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot31
26
Q2 - 10:48MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)31
26
Q2 - 11:09SASLeonard 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)29
26
Q2 - 11:32MIAGreen STEAL (2 STL)29
24
Q2 - 11:32SASJump Ball Green vs. Wade: Tip to Splitter29
24
Q2 - 11:49SASLeonard 2' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)29
24
Q2 - 12:0029
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound29
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot29
22
Q1 - 0:04.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
22
Q1 - 0:04.0MIASUB: Allen FOR Battier29
21
Q1 - 0:04.0MIASUB: James FOR Andersen29
21
Q1 - 0:04.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
21
Q1 - 0:04.0MIABattier S.FOUL (P2.PN)29
20
Q1 - 0:18.0MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
20
Q1 - 0:18.0MIASUB: Bosh FOR James28
20
Q1 - 0:18.0SASSUB: Diaw FOR Bonner28
20
Q1 - 0:18.0MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
20
Q1 - 0:18.0SASSplitter S.FOUL (P1.PN)27
20
Q1 - 0:33.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
20
Q1 - 0:35.0SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
20
Q1 - 0:41.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
20
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
20
Q1 - 1:04MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
20
Q1 - 1:05SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot27
20
Q1 - 1:16MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)27
20
Q1 - 1:43SASSplitter 2' Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)27
20
Q1 - 1:59MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)27
18
Q1 - 1:59SASSUB: Parker FOR Mills26
18
Q1 - 1:59SASSUB: Green FOR Ginobili26
18
Q1 - 1:59MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)26
18
Q1 - 1:59SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.PN)25
18
Q1 - 2:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)25
18
Q1 - 2:10SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot25
18
Q1 - 2:17MIASUB: Cole FOR Allen25
18
Q1 - 2:17MIAAndersen P.FOUL (P1.T4)25
18
Q1 - 2:27MIAJames 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)25
18
Q1 - 2:57SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)22
18
Q1 - 3:11SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
15
Q1 - 3:12MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
15
Q1 - 3:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
15
Q1 - 3:34SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
15
Q1 - 3:39SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
15
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
15
Q1 - 3:50MIASUB: Wade FOR Bosh22
15
Q1 - 3:50SASMills P.FOUL (P1.T4)22
15
Q1 - 4:04SASLeonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)22
15
Q1 - 4:13SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
12
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot22
12
Q1 - 4:27MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)22
12
Q1 - 4:27SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)22
12
Q1 - 4:39MIASUB: Andersen FOR Lewis22
9
Q1 - 4:39MIABattier Foul Turnover (P1.T2)22
9
Q1 - 4:39MIABattier OFF.Foul (P1)22
9
Q1 - 4:48SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
9
Q1 - 4:48MIALewis Shooting Block Foul (P2.T3)22
8
Q1 - 4:48SASGinobili 4' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
8
Q1 - 5:04MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)22
6
Q1 - 5:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
6
Q1 - 5:25SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 219
6
Q1 - 5:25SASSUB: Bonner FOR Diaw19
6
Q1 - 5:25SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
6
Q1 - 5:25MIALewis S.FOUL (P1.T2)19
5
Q1 - 5:33SASSPURS Rebound19
5
Q1 - 5:33SASMISS Mills 1' Layup19
5
Q1 - 5:38MIASplitter STEAL (1 STL)19
5
Q1 - 5:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
5
Q1 - 5:46SASMISS Diaw 1' Reverse Layup19
5
Q1 - 6:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)19
5
Q1 - 6:03MIASUB: Battier FOR Wade18
5
Q1 - 6:03SASSUB: Mills FOR Parker18
5
Q1 - 6:03SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan18
5
Q1 - 6:03SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.T3)18
5
Q1 - 6:03MIAJames 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)18
5
Q1 - 6:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
5
Q1 - 6:06SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
5
Q1 - 6:06SASMISS Leonard Tip Shot16
5
Q1 - 6:08SASMISS Parker 1' Reverse Layup16
5
Q1 - 6:11SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
5
Q1 - 6:13SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
5
Q1 - 6:38MIALewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)16
5
Q1 - 6:54SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T2)13
5
Q1 - 7:13SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)13
5
Q1 - 7:34MIABosh 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)13
2
Q1 - 7:43SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)11
2
Q1 - 7:59MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)11
2
Q1 - 8:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
2
Q1 - 8:07SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 8:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade Layup8
2
Q1 - 8:25SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
2
Q1 - 8:25SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
1
Q1 - 8:25MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
0
Q1 - 8:41SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green8
0
Q1 - 8:41SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
0
Q1 - 8:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
0
Q1 - 8:41MIAJames 2' Dunk (6 PTS)8
0
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot6
0
Q1 - 8:45MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
0
Q1 - 8:48SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot6
0
Q1 - 9:02SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
0
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
0
Q1 - 9:15SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Bosh: Tip to James6
0
Q1 - 9:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
0
Q1 - 9:20SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot6
0
Q1 - 9:43MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
0
Q1 - 9:43MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
0
Q1 - 9:43SASLeonard S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
0
Q1 - 9:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 10:00SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 10:10SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
0
Q1 - 10:11MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 10:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 10:20SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 10:44SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS James 2' Layup4
0
Q1 - 10:56MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 11:00SASMISS Leonard 9' Jump Bank Shot4
0
Q1 - 11:25MIAJames 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
0
Q1 - 11:31SASGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:41MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.3%
SAS
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
25
56%
SAS
11
20
55%
Midrange
MIA
9
25
36%
SAS
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
25
28%
42%
SAS
12
18.0
26
46%
69%
Free Throws
MIA
20
27
74%
SAS
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3162%15.5 / 25
C. Bosh1343%6.5 / 15
D. Wade1139%5.5 / 14
M. Beasley956%4.5 / 8
M. Chalmers880%4.0 / 5
R. Allen528%2.5 / 9
R. Lewis375%1.5 / 2
T. Douglas375%1.5 / 2
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
N. Cole233%1.0 / 3
C. Andersen0-0.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2285%11.0 / 13
M. Ginobili1973%9.5 / 13
P. Mills1785%8.5 / 10
T. Parker1642%8.0 / 19
T. Duncan1458%7.0 / 12
B. Diaw536%2.5 / 7
M. Belinelli467%2.0 / 3
T. Splitter3150%1.5 / 1
J. Ayres2100%1.0 / 1
A. Baynes2100%1.0 / 1
D. Green0-0.0 / 5
C. Joseph0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+12
-10
90
SAS
80
+8
-8
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.3%
SAS
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
4
112.7
3
114.0
MIA 98.9
SAS 118.2 +19.3
Pace
15
86.4
4
92.9
MIA 93.9 +11.2
SAS 82.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15
16.9
23
15.7
MIA 15.3 −2.1
SAS 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
1
55.5%
2
54.6%
MIA 44.7%
SAS 55.1% +10.4%
TO %
4
13.0%
3
12.9%
MIA 12.1%
SAS 8.3% −3.8%
ORB %
16
17.1%
12
23.6%
MIA 12.8%
SAS 14.3% +1.5%
FTrt
10
30.5
12
29.1
MIA 36.0 +6.5
SAS 29.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
13
51.6%
7
55.9%
MIA 46.7%
SAS 67.6% +20.9%
STL %
4
8.5%
3
8.7%
MIA 5.7%
SAS 5.7%
BLK %
10
7.5%
13
5.8%
MIA 7.7%
SAS 8.0% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
1
57.3%
2
56.7%
MIA 47.3%
SAS 58.4% +11.1%
Rim FG%
1
66.6%
2
62.6%
MIA 56.0% +1.0%
SAS 55.0%
Mid FG%
6
41.2%
2
43.1%
MIA 36.0%
SAS 43.8% +7.8%
3P %
2
39.6%
1
40.9%
MIA 28.0%
SAS 46.2% +18.2%
FT %
5
78.0%
6
76.7%
MIA 74.1%
SAS 78.3% +4.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
12
33.0%
10
33.7%
MIA 33.3% +7.7%
SAS 25.6%
Mid Att. %
5
34.4%
11
39.6%
MIA 33.3% −7.7%
SAS 41.0%
3P Att. %
2
32.6%
10
26.7%
MIA 33.3%
SAS 33.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points87104
Rebounds4140
Assists1425
Steals55
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (7)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals30-7537-78
At-the-Rim FG14-2511-20
Midrange FG9-2514-32
2-Point FG23-5025-52
3-Point FG7-2512-26
Free Throws20-2718-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
41.3
31
62%
10
5
0
2
1
1
1
9
8-9
89%
7-12
58%
3-9
33%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
38.6
13
43%
7
2
1
0
0
2
0
7
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
0-5
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
36.0
11
39%
3
1
0
0
3
3
0
3
2-4
50%
3-10
30%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
31.3
5
28%
5
2
1
0
4
2
1
4
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
9.0
3
75%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
18.0
0
0%
6
0
1
1
0
5
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
17.0
9
56%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
1-3
33%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
14.8
8
80%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
11.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
9.8
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
8.8
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
2.2
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
47%
41
14
5
4
10
0
5
36
20-27
74%
23-50
46%
7-25
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.