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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
June 15, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Heat
87
2Spurs
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.5
41
37
31
10
5
0
1
2
1
1
9
8-9
89%
7-12
7-13
58%
54%
3-9
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.2
39
36
13
7
2
1
1
0
0
0
7
1-2
50%
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
0-5
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.4
36
33
11
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-4
50%
3-10
6-12
30%
49%
1-2
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.9
31
29
5
5
2
1
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
0-5
1-3
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.9
9
23
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.9
18
15
0
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
57%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
17
3
9
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-3
33%
4-7
0-1
57%
43%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.1
15
27
8
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.8
11
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.0
10
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.7
9
18
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.7
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
35%
0-1
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.2
2
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
1-2
50%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.2
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.2
38
34
5
9
6
1
1
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
53%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.1
36
33
16
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
7-17
6-12
41%
50%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
34
36
22
10
2
1
2
1
3
2
8
5-6
83%
4-6
4-8
67%
55%
3-4
75%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.1
33
31
14
8
2
0
1
2
0
2
6
4-6
67%
5-10
5-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
19
21
0
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.9
28
27
19
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
4-5
80%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
3-6
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.8
18
16
17
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
5-8
63%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.5
11
16
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
9
9
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.2
7
9
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.5
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.7
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.