Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 1, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Hawks
111
21Nets
87
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.1
32
39
20
8
4
3
1
1
1
0
8
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
6-10
60%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.2
31
39
25
9
6
2
2
0
2
0
9
5-8
63%
7-11
5-10
64%
49%
2-4
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.9
31
32
18
7
3
1
1
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
8-13
7-13
62%
53%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
24
39
20
5
1
0
2
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
4-4
4-7
100%
54%
3-4
75%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.9
24
35
0
1
13
2
2
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
5-10
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.8
24
14
7
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.6
21
14
12
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-10
2-5
60%
45%
0-3
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.8
17
7
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.0
13
1
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.8
10
16
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.8
6
4
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
52%
0-1
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.1
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.9
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 33.8
36
42
12
6
6
2
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
2-6
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.1
35
39
19
7
0
0
1
1
1
4
3
5-5
100%
7-15
8-15
47%
50%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.0
33
33
8
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
3-5
60%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
1-5
20%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.8
27
33
13
5
4
0
1
0
4
0
5
2-3
67%
4-7
3-8
57%
42%
1-3
33%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.9
23
30
7
6
0
0
1
1
3
1
5
1-3
33%
3-6
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
27
26
11
7
5
0
1
0
3
0
7
3-3
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.5
22
26
6
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 29.6
9
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.2
9
6
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
2-3
1-1
67%
56%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
5
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 27.3
5
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 28.6
5
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 21.5
Cory Jefferson
F · 6'9" 218 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.