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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
May 14, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers
94
6Bulls
73
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.4
41
41
15
9
11
0
2
2
4
1
8
1-2
50%
7-19
9-17
37%
53%
0-4
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.2
40
36
13
17
0
0
1
2
0
6
11
5-5
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
50%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.9
36
37
13
7
4
2
2
1
0
2
5
1-2
50%
3-10
2-5
30%
44%
2-4
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.8
26
26
7
5
1
0
0
1
0
4
1
3-4
75%
2-6
4-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.1
12
39
6
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
5-11
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.7
34
19
19
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
37%
3-6
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.7
34
25
12
8
2
1
1
1
2
2
6
3-3
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
3-6
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.6
10
9
9
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
3-6
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.5
2
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 37.0
1
0
0-0
48%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.5
0
0
0-0
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.7
44
42
20
5
1
1
2
0
2
3
2
2-2
100%
6-16
5-11
38%
47%
2-6
33%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
36
40
14
2
6
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
7-13
7-15
54%
45%
0-3
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.2
35
35
4
11
2
0
1
1
1
3
8
2-2
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.7
31
35
7
1
4
0
1
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.9
24
26
8
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-8
5-9
38%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.4
20
17
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
15
27
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.3
13
17
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
0-3
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.3
10
8
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.5
5
8
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.7
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.2
2
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
33%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.4
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.