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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 3, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Grizzlies
86
1Warriors
101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.3
38
38
21
9
3
3
1
0
3
1
8
11-12
92%
5-9
7-15
56%
46%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.3
38
30
15
4
3
3
2
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
6-11
3-6
55%
47%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.6
36
34
9
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.8
36
36
20
9
5
0
1
0
1
3
6
2-2
100%
9-15
6-15
60%
44%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.2
21
24
0
1
2
3
1
0
3
0
1
0-2
0%
0-3
2-6
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
27
24
9
2
4
1
0
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
19
18
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.3
18
16
2
4
2
2
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
39%
0-2
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.2
6
11
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.8
1
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
1-1
100%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.9
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
33%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 26.0
0
0
0-0
43%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.6
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.1
38
38
22
2
7
4
2
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
50%
4-8
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
38
36
18
3
6
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
6-11
5-10
55%
47%
2-5
40%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.2
27
39
16
5
3
2
2
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
50%
4-8
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
25
32
11
3
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.4
24
24
4
6
1
2
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.3
30
25
8
5
2
3
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
52%
1-4
25%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.6
16
17
2
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.4
14
11
6
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.7
13
6
10
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
5
2-5
40%
4-6
1-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.5
11
6
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.0
4
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.3
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.8
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.