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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 22, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers
94
6Hawks
82
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.2
41
40
7
16
0
0
1
2
2
5
11
3-9
33%
2-6
4-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.4
39
39
30
9
11
0
2
1
4
1
8
8-11
73%
8-15
9-17
53%
53%
2-7
29%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.7
37
25
11
6
4
1
0
0
3
1
5
1-2
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
38%
2-7
29%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.9
34
34
16
4
0
1
2
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
4-6
67%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.8
25
24
10
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
52%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.7
32
33
9
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.6
23
12
9
2
0
2
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
3-5
60%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 37.0
6
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.2
27
1
3-7
46%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.3
2
0
0-0
40%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.5
0
0
0-0
38%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.5
0
0
0-0
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.7
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
34
34
6
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.2
32
36
12
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
48%
2-6
33%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.9
31
37
12
3
6
1
2
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-10
5-11
30%
48%
2-6
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.0
30
37
12
6
2
1
1
1
1
2
4
2-3
67%
5-8
7-14
63%
53%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.3
27
36
4
5
2
2
2
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-8
5-10
25%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.8
26
2
6
7
1
1
0
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
51%
0-3
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.1
13
1
7
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.8
13
9
1
5
1
0
0
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.7
12
20
13
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
45%
1-3
33%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.9
12
15
7
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.9
5
11
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.2
1
0
0-0
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.1
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.