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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 26, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Hawks31%9788
4Cavaliers69%104118
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.9
34.6
25.4
12
44%
8
3
0
1
0
0
0
8
4-6
67%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
0-4
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.3
31.0
35.6
16
48%
10
5
0
2
0
0
2
8
6-8
75%
5-9
4-10
56%
47%
0-4
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.0
28.9
25.8
2
17%
2
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
5-10
17%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.0
27.6
35.8
17
65%
1
1
1
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
7-8
5-11
88%
45%
1-5
20%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
26.6
34.9
7
35%
8
1
1
1
1
2
2
6
0-2
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
1-5
20%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.1
24.4
16.2
10
42%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.9
23.8
22.1
2
20%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-4
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.7
19.1
9.9
4
29%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.9
12.0
8.2
8
80%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
12.0
2.6
10
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
49%
2-3
67%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.2
33.6
1
1-2
45%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.1
12.0
1
1-2
46%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.8
5.7
0
0-1
45%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 27.0
5.1
0
0-1
40%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.2
1.0
0
0-0
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.9
35.5
35.8
3
19%
8
4
0
2
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.9
35.1
22.1
14
63%
7
1
1
0
3
2
3
4
4-5
80%
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.2
30.7
39.0
16
69%
11
0
0
1
1
2
5
6
4-8
50%
6-8
4-7
75%
51%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.4
29.2
40.1
23
53%
9
7
2
2
1
1
0
9
1-4
25%
8-14
10-19
57%
53%
2-6
33%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.2
21.9
9.9
16
65%
4
5
1
0
1
1
1
3
2-3
67%
4-8
1-3
50%
47%
2-3
67%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.7
29.0
32.7
18
64%
10
3
0
1
0
2
0
10
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
4-10
40%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.6
19.6
19.0
5
40%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
1-4
25%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.7
16.6
35.3
10
68%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
3-3
100%
2-4
1-4
50%
38%
1-2
50%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.7
6.0
0.9
7
122%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
1-1
100%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.3
5.4
1.4
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
1-1
100%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.5
5.4
0.2
3
52%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 37.1
3.4
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.5
2.0
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.7
20.3
1
3-6
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.7
18.7
0
2-3
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.