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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 19, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets25%99106
1Warriors75%108110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.7
41.8
38.5
28
62%
11
9
4
2
0
5
2
9
5-6
83%
10-17
5-11
59%
45%
1-3
33%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.9
34.0
40.6
20
92%
3
2
2
2
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
4-5
80%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.7
27.3
28.0
7
35%
2
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
45%
1-4
25%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.5
27.1
21.7
17
48%
7
5
0
1
3
3
1
6
3-4
75%
4-10
2-6
40%
44%
2-6
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.4
26.2
32.9
7
40%
13
2
1
1
1
5
4
9
1-4
25%
3-7
6-10
43%
55%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.2
29.8
23.4
9
51%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.4
26.0
22.6
5
21%
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
1-4
25%
2-8
4-7
25%
52%
0-2
0%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.0
15.0
17.8
4
67%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.0
13.0
5.9
9
92%
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
4-4
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.4
1.3
0
0-0
41%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
0.7
0
0-0
43%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.4
0.6
0
0-0
50%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.3
0.2
0
0-0
40%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.7
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.2
42.8
33.5
13
47%
12
8
2
2
1
3
4
8
1-2
50%
6-10
3-5
60%
50%
0-3
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.2
39.4
37.1
34
73%
6
5
2
2
0
1
0
6
2-3
67%
7-11
5-9
64%
50%
6-11
55%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.3
33.0
37.4
15
40%
2
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
1-7
14%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
32.9
34.9
14
58%
1
1
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
4-6
4-7
67%
49%
2-6
33%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.5
16.3
24.4
0
0%
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.7
28.7
18.3
18
85%
7
3
1
1
0
2
2
5
6-6
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.3
23.2
27.2
4
38%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-3
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.6
11.3
3.8
6
52%
4
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
2-4
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.5
8.0
3.8
4
34%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-3
0-1
0%
47%
1-2
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.1
4.4
13.7
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.9
1.2
0
0-0
46%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.1
1.2
0
0-0
45%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.4
1.0
0
0-0
48%
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.0
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.