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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
June 11, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors
103
3Cavaliers
82
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.2
41
40
22
2
7
1
2
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
4-10
5-9
40%
49%
4-7
57%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.4
39
33
22
8
0
1
1
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
53%
4-9
44%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.3
39
38
9
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
4-10
75%
47%
1-5
20%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
33
27
14
8
0
0
1
2
0
3
5
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.3
32
33
17
7
6
2
1
1
0
0
7
4-7
57%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
1-3
33%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.7
25
13
7
8
4
1
0
1
1
1
7
3-4
75%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.1
15
8
9
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
5
3-6
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
50%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.5
7
9
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.5
3
20
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.9
2
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.6
13
0
2-3
50%
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.4
41
44
20
12
8
0
2
0
2
2
10
5-10
50%
6-18
12-23
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.0
39
31
5
7
1
0
1
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
1-5
20%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.2
38
40
12
13
0
0
1
1
0
6
7
0-0
-
6-10
3-7
60%
50%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.9
33
29
28
10
1
1
0
0
3
6
4
10-12
83%
9-16
4-8
56%
51%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.8
33
34
10
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
38%
2-9
22%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.8
28
32
4
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-8
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.7
18
14
0
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.3
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.8
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.6
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.2
10
0
1-3
46%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 37.1
1
0
0-0
47%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.5
0
0
0-0
40%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.7
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.