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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
June 13, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers
112
1Warriors
97
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.5
43
41
41
16
7
3
2
3
2
4
12
5-8
63%
12-22
8-16
55%
53%
4-8
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.3
42
28
6
15
0
1
0
2
0
3
12
4-10
40%
1-3
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.2
40
39
41
3
6
2
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
12-17
7-16
71%
47%
5-7
71%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.8
33
25
2
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-3
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.8
31
39
10
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
2-7
1-2
29%
43%
1-2
50%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.0
26
16
4
1
0
1
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.0
14
26
8
1
0
3
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
48%
0-1
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.8
3
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
38%
0-2
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.5
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.9
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.7
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 35.5
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.1
10
0
0-1
46%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.1
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
41
33
15
11
6
2
1
0
3
4
7
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
54%
1-4
25%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.3
41
35
37
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
9-9
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
48%
6-11
55%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.2
40
35
25
7
4
0
2
3
4
2
5
4-4
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
5-15
33%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.0
38
36
5
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-2
0%
1-8
3-6
13%
49%
1-6
17%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.5
8
12
0
3
0
0
0
3
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.8
21
20
7
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.9
11
4
0
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.5
10
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.6
10
4
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
54%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.7
9
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-8
38%
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.4
8
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
5
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
38
1
3-7
51%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.3
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.