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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
June 16, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors
101
3Cavaliers
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
41
20
8
10
6
1
1
1
1
1
9
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.4
38
37
25
3
1
2
1
1
4
2
1
4-7
57%
6-11
4-9
55%
48%
3-10
30%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.3
35
37
30
2
1
1
2
0
4
0
2
8-9
89%
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
6-13
46%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
30
36
5
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
1-2
3-5
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.0
16
36
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-5
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.8
21
21
3
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-6
3-6
17%
50%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.5
19
10
14
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
4-5
80%
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
2-3
67%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.7
15
8
4
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
8
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.7
7
7
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.4
3
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.3
3
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-1
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.9
2
8
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
2-2
100%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.5
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.3
43
35
15
16
3
0
1
0
3
2
14
3-4
75%
6-6
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.5
43
41
41
8
11
4
2
3
1
2
6
6-8
75%
13-21
9-17
62%
54%
3-6
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.8
40
34
14
4
3
3
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
4-10
40%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.2
39
39
23
4
3
2
1
2
3
1
3
7-7
100%
5-13
8-16
38%
48%
2-5
40%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.8
12
30
7
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-6
67%
0-1
3-6
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.0
32
19
3
6
1
2
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.0
14
21
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.5
6
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 35.5
5
2
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
41%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.8
2
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.9
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.7
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.1
5
0
0-0
48%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.1
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.