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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Sunday
June 19, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers35%10593
2Warriors65%11189
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.5
46.8
41.2
27
48%
11
11
2
2
3
5
1
10
8-10
80%
8-19
9-17
42%
52%
1-5
20%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.2
43.0
38.6
26
53%
6
1
1
1
1
2
3
3
4-4
100%
8-18
7-16
44%
46%
2-5
40%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.8
38.9
36.9
12
46%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
42%
2-8
25%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.3
31.8
38.6
9
95%
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
3
3-4
75%
3-3
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.8
30.0
19.5
9
42%
14
3
2
0
0
1
4
10
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.0
25.5
25.9
2
25%
9
0
1
1
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.0
19.2
17.4
6
69%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-3
33%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.5
4.8
5.0
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.8
4.3
0
0-1
37%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 35.5
3.3
0
0-1
40%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.9
3.1
0
0-1
52%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.1
2.9
0
0-0
45%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.7
2.7
0
0-0
37%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.1
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
46.9
31.6
32
95%
15
9
2
1
0
2
1
14
4-4
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
6-8
75%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.4
42.3
36.9
14
41%
2
2
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
47%
2-10
20%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.3
39.3
35.5
17
44%
5
2
1
2
1
4
0
5
1-1
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
51%
4-14
29%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.1
29.4
25.3
10
46%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
47%
2-4
50%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.7
10.8
12.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
37.9
32.4
4
29%
9
4
2
1
2
0
2
7
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-3
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.8
16.1
21.0
8
51%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.7
8.5
7.0
1
27%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.9
4.6
5.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.6
4.4
14.8
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.0
7.7
0
0-1
45%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.5
5.2
0
1-1
51%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.3
3.9
0
0-1
49%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.6
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.