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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 19, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
476ers
128
17Heat
108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 21.7
40
34
19
12
7
4
2
0
3
1
11
7-8
88%
6-12
6-11
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.1
30
18
23
7
4
1
0
3
3
1
6
10-15
67%
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
3-4
75%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 24.0
30
30
21
7
4
0
1
0
0
3
4
3-4
75%
3-10
3-7
30%
48%
4-7
57%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 33.8
28
30
10
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
1-5
20%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.3
26
31
11
1
4
3
2
1
2
0
1
3-5
60%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
2-2
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.1
33
29
21
4
5
1
1
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
4-8
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
20
27
8
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 31.0
14
21
4
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
56%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.4
9
4
6
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
2-3
67%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.1
5
9
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 19.9
4
11
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
9
0
1-2
59%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
0
0
0-0
50%
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 20.7
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.2
32
30
12
7
5
1
1
2
1
1
6
2-4
50%
2-6
4-7
33%
55%
2-3
67%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.0
27
28
23
2
8
1
1
0
0
0
2
6-7
86%
7-8
4-8
88%
48%
1-5
20%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.6
27
31
14
1
0
2
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
47%
4-7
57%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.9
17
18
10
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
2-2
100%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.8
13
15
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-1
3-6
100%
54%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 27.0
36
29
9
3
5
1
1
3
1
0
3
3-4
75%
0-1
3-6
0%
56%
2-5
40%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.1
27
26
19
10
3
1
1
2
2
2
8
7-8
88%
0-5
3-6
0%
44%
4-6
67%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.3
25
22
8
2
5
1
1
1
4
0
2
4-4
100%
2-9
4-9
22%
46%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.4
19
21
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.8
15
13
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-4
25%
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.8
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
38%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.4
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.9
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.