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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 16, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Spurs33%101101
6Warriors67%107116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.7
37.4
26.9
34
65%
12
3
0
0
0
2
4
8
12-12
100%
11-21
7-14
52%
49%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.7
36.5
21.8
12
50%
5
3
3
1
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.7
32.4
27.8
21
59%
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
46%
3-9
33%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.8
24.8
20.5
0
0%
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-3
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.6
12.6
24.1
4
50%
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.4
25.5
12.3
5
29%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
1-6
17%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.7
22.8
16.4
10
51%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
46%
0-3
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.8
15.5
18.1
12
79%
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
4
6-6
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
13.6
21.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.6
10.0
16.9
1
17%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-2
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.9
6.4
14.1
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.8
2.5
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.0
6.5
0
0-1
48%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 28.2
39.5
35.4
31
74%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
50%
5-8
63%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.5
38.9
31.4
32
68%
6
6
0
1
1
2
0
6
9-10
90%
7-10
6-11
70%
55%
3-9
33%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.1
35.1
31.3
9
42%
5
6
2
1
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
52%
1-4
25%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 34.2
27.9
22.6
14
100%
7
5
1
1
1
2
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
4-5
80%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.2
18.5
12.4
10
71%
7
2
2
0
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
5-7
3-4
71%
60%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.2
21.4
21.3
2
50%
3
2
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 32.6
19.0
17.3
2
25%
3
2
0
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
51%
0-0
-
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 25.1
18.2
29.3
6
50%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
49%
2-4
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.6
14.3
13.9
10
105%
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
4-4
100%
3-3
2-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.9
4.3
13.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 23.3
1.8
7.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 22.8
1.1
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 34.2
4.4
0
1-1
51%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.1
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.