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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 30, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
376ers54%103101
15Celtics46%101117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 21.8
41.9
36.1
18
57%
7
6
2
2
1
7
0
7
6-11
55%
6-11
6-12
55%
53%
0-0
-
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.1
35.0
28.1
31
66%
13
5
1
1
0
3
1
12
5-6
83%
10-16
5-11
63%
50%
2-5
40%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 33.8
34.1
31.3
20
66%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-5
80%
5-6
3-6
83%
48%
2-7
29%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 24.1
33.0
25.5
12
51%
7
4
1
1
0
0
5
2
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
0-4
0%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
26.9
30.8
3
20%
2
1
2
2
1
0
0
2
3-3
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-4
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.1
28.0
29.2
11
51%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
21.3
27.6
6
28%
9
2
1
1
0
1
3
6
2-4
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-3
0%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.1
6.1
10.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.4
5.3
5.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 31.0
5.0
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-0
-
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
1.7
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
59%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
1.7
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 19.9
2.6
0
0-1
42%
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 20.8
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 20.2
39.6
33.8
28
66%
3
2
0
1
1
4
0
3
11-12
92%
7-11
5-10
64%
48%
1-5
20%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.1
34.9
35.4
29
81%
8
6
2
1
1
2
2
6
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
42%
7-9
78%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.9
33.0
33.2
26
94%
7
4
0
1
0
2
0
7
4-4
100%
8-9
4-9
89%
52%
2-3
67%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.2
32.1
26.8
9
36%
3
9
1
1
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
2-8
25%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.4
29.3
13.5
6
75%
6
1
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
27.9
24.8
11
46%
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.4
21.6
24.7
3
38%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 25.6
18.1
13.1
5
36%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-5
1-2
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.4
1.7
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 24.6
1.7
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 21.5
28.3
1
4-7
51%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 27.9
3.4
0
1-1
52%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.1
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 26.1
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.