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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 14, 2019
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pistons31%10486
11Bucks69%111121
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.4
28.4
28.3
5
25%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
47%
1-4
25%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 25.7
26.3
34.4
12
52%
12
2
1
2
0
3
2
10
4-6
67%
4-9
6-12
44%
51%
0-0
-
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 22.1
22.1
17.7
4
20%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-6
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 29.0
21.6
24.3
12
43%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-13
3-7
46%
44%
0-1
0%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 22.7
12.3
21.1
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
27.6
24.2
21
71%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
4-9
2-4
44%
46%
4-5
80%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.3
24.2
21.3
6
38%
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
2-6
33%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.8
22.7
22.4
4
33%
1
6
2
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.3
19.5
15.2
4
34%
3
2
2
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 35.2
17.6
9.1
5
36%
9
0
0
0
0
1
1
8
1-2
50%
2-6
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 22.9
9.2
1.2
9
75%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
43%
1-2
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29.9
4.9
1.6
2
41%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.5
3.8
0.7
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 30.1
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.7
25.4
21.7
14
54%
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-6
4-7
17%
50%
4-7
57%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 29.3
25.0
13.7
15
70%
3
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
2-4
50%
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 24.2
24.7
26.1
11
94%
3
7
3
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
53%
3-5
60%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 31.0
24.6
15.8
14
80%
3
2
0
0
4
0
0
3
4-4
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
55%
2-5
40%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 24.4
23.5
13.4
24
54%
17
4
1
1
0
1
3
14
5-12
42%
8-12
3-6
67%
60%
1-5
20%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
28.3
23.2
10
78%
8
1
1
0
1
2
1
7
1-1
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
59%
1-2
50%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 32.9
23.3
20.9
16
65%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
52%
1-4
25%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
22.9
21.7
0
0%
6
2
0
1
2
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-3
0%
D.J. Wilson
F · 6'10" 236 · 23.1
15.6
33.1
6
60%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 28.2
14.7
11.0
4
25%
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
52%
0-5
0%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 28.4
12.0
32.3
7
70%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.3
15.3
0
2-4
54%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 27.4
3.4
0
0-0
51%
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.2
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 38.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.