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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 14, 2019
1:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pacers32%10174
9Celtics68%10884
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.0
34.6
16.5
12
47%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 23.1
30.0
24.4
5
32%
8
2
0
1
1
0
1
7
1-4
25%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.5
29.4
25.6
8
50%
1
1
1
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
2-6
33%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.8
26.1
16.2
7
41%
4
6
5
1
1
2
1
3
1-1
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
52%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
24.8
21.9
6
27%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
3-5
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 22.9
27.5
14.8
7
35%
9
3
0
0
0
2
2
7
1-2
50%
3-9
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.6
23.1
22.0
14
71%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
2-4
50%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.6
17.2
24.6
8
31%
6
1
0
1
1
1
0
6
1-4
25%
2-8
3-8
25%
44%
1-3
33%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 27.3
12.8
25.0
2
13%
4
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
0-2
0%
1-2
3-5
50%
51%
0-5
0%
TJ Leaf
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.0
9.8
22.9
2
26%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 22.5
1.6
22.0
3
150%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
1-1
100%
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 23.3
1.6
15.7
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 29.1
1.6
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.9
Alize Johnson
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 27.1
34.0
32.6
20
51%
5
7
2
1
0
3
0
5
6-6
100%
4-12
6-11
33%
52%
2-5
40%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.1
33.9
14.1
15
68%
3
0
2
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
49%
3-3
100%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.9
32.2
28.6
10
48%
11
5
1
1
0
3
0
11
1-1
100%
3-6
5-8
50%
55%
1-4
25%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 22.5
28.0
23.2
2
20%
5
0
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.3
22.9
19.8
2
50%
9
0
0
0
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 29.1
30.4
31.8
10
39%
7
4
2
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
51%
0-2
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
29.4
27.4
20
63%
7
0
0
1
0
0
0
7
7-9
78%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
3-8
38%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.1
18.2
20.9
5
32%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 27.0
4.5
12.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
0-0
-
Brad Wanamaker
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.7
3.3
16.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 21.5
2.2
13.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.4
0.5
18.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.3
0.5
12.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.1
Jonathan Gibson
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.