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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 16, 2019
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Spurs
105
8Nuggets
114
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.7
37
34
24
8
3
0
1
0
1
1
7
8-10
80%
8-18
8-15
44%
50%
0-2
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
33
36
31
7
2
2
1
0
1
1
6
9-9
100%
11-19
7-15
58%
47%
0-0
-
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.8
32
27
17
4
0
0
1
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
51%
1-2
50%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
26
29
5
4
3
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.5
20
22
5
8
1
0
1
2
1
4
4
1-2
50%
2-5
3-4
40%
62%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.7
28
26
5
9
3
0
1
0
2
3
6
1-1
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.1
23
17
8
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.7
20
21
5
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.4
16
20
3
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
1-4
25%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.0
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.3
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 28.6
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.6
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
39
33
21
13
8
2
1
0
3
3
10
5-6
83%
5-12
7-12
42%
56%
2-3
67%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.1
37
33
24
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
6-7
86%
6-14
5-10
43%
49%
2-3
67%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
35
33
23
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-1
0%
7-10
4-7
70%
52%
3-6
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.2
30
30
20
7
1
1
1
1
1
2
5
5-7
71%
6-9
3-7
67%
51%
1-1
100%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.3
26
29
3
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-4
25%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-6
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
24
23
11
1
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
53%
0-1
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
23
18
8
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
2-4
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
20
21
4
5
2
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
58%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
7
14
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.4
4
0
1-1
53%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
4
0
0-0
53%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.2
3
0
0-1
48%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.0
1
0
0-0
53%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.