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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 18, 2019
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets
108
11Spurs
118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
33
34
12
4
7
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
2-8
4-8
25%
51%
2-5
40%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
32
36
22
8
7
0
1
0
1
2
6
3-4
75%
5-8
7-13
63%
55%
3-6
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.1
31
35
6
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
5-11
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.2
29
30
14
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
4-5
3-7
80%
50%
1-2
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.3
20
27
4
2
0
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
28
21
20
9
2
0
1
0
1
2
7
1-1
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
53%
5-6
83%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
25
23
10
2
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
19
20
8
3
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-2
0%
4-5
3-5
80%
57%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
14
10
12
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
55%
2-3
67%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.6
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.4
4
3
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.2
3
0
0-1
46%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
38
34
25
4
5
3
1
0
0
2
2
7-8
88%
9-17
7-14
53%
48%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
34
28
10
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
3-7
43%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.7
34
35
18
11
5
0
1
1
2
4
7
2-2
100%
8-16
8-16
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.8
33
30
36
5
5
3
1
1
1
0
5
5-6
83%
14-17
4-8
82%
52%
1-4
25%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.5
31
21
10
7
3
1
0
0
0
5
2
2-4
50%
4-5
3-4
80%
62%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.7
24
27
11
10
2
1
1
0
3
3
7
6-8
75%
1-6
4-7
17%
50%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.7
18
21
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.1
17
20
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.4
6
17
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 28.6
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
100%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.6
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.