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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 23, 2019
9:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Spurs
90
9Nuggets
108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.8
31
32
17
10
0
2
1
1
2
2
8
2-3
67%
6-12
7-15
50%
50%
1-1
100%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
28
35
17
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
5-5
100%
6-15
7-15
40%
47%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.5
26
27
12
7
4
0
1
0
1
4
3
0-1
0%
6-7
3-5
86%
61%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
24
29
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.8
22
30
12
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
4-9
4-8
44%
52%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.1
23
17
7
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.7
21
18
5
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
1-5
20%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.7
20
22
6
7
1
0
1
1
0
2
5
0-1
0%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-2
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.4
17
16
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
1-4
25%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.4
12
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 28.6
6
3
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.0
5
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
1-1
100%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.1
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.6
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
33
36
16
11
8
2
1
1
3
2
9
4-4
100%
3-7
7-13
43%
56%
2-4
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.2
28
33
23
4
7
2
1
1
2
1
3
1-1
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
49%
4-9
44%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
28
23
1
10
0
0
1
1
1
1
9
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-1
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
26
34
15
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
4-7
67%
52%
3-5
60%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.2
25
28
14
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
4-5
80%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
2-4
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.3
28
20
17
5
3
0
0
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
48%
1-4
25%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
26
24
11
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
54%
2-3
67%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
24
20
10
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
54%
0-3
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
16
15
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-3
33%
0-4
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.6
6
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
53%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.5
2
0
0-1
53%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.2
2
0
0-1
48%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.1
1
0
0-0
55%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.