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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 25, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets
103
12Spurs
120
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
38
34
43
12
9
2
1
1
2
6
6
3-4
75%
17-24
6-12
71%
55%
2-6
33%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.2
35
30
16
3
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
6-14
4-9
43%
48%
1-5
20%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
35
30
14
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
2-3
67%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.2
34
26
12
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
50%
0-2
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
33
25
5
6
6
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
55%
1-2
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
20
25
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
53%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.3
19
24
2
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-4
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
14
22
4
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
8
16
5
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
57%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.5
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.6
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.2
2
0
0-1
48%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.8
38
32
26
10
5
0
1
1
0
2
8
5-6
83%
9-15
7-14
60%
51%
1-3
33%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
36
31
25
7
7
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
12-16
6-13
75%
48%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
30
27
12
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
2-4
50%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.5
28
26
8
9
2
0
1
1
1
5
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
63%
0-0
-
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.8
28
25
13
1
2
0
1
2
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
4-7
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.7
28
21
19
4
2
0
1
2
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
3-3
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.7
25
20
6
2
6
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
0-7
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.1
20
20
9
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
2-4
50%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.4
2
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 28.6
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.0
2
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.4
16
0
1-1
53%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.6
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.