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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 27, 2019
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Spurs31%10686
7Nuggets69%11390
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
42.5
33.4
19
40%
8
6
2
1
0
2
1
7
5-6
83%
7-21
7-14
33%
47%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.8
41.0
34.3
16
45%
11
4
0
1
3
2
2
9
4-4
100%
6-15
8-15
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
39.3
28.5
19
77%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-3
67%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
3-4
75%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.8
20.9
26.4
4
23%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
0-3
4-7
0%
51%
0-4
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.5
18.1
27.0
2
33%
8
0
0
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
61%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.7
33.3
24.3
21
57%
8
1
1
1
2
1
2
6
3-3
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
48%
2-7
29%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.7
29.3
22.5
5
36%
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.1
15.6
19.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.5
9.4
0
0-1
51%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.4
4.0
0
0-1
44%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 28.6
2.1
0
0-0
51%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.0
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.1
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.6
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
43.5
36.0
21
38%
15
10
1
1
3
0
5
10
3-4
75%
9-22
8-13
41%
57%
0-4
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
40.9
32.1
11
51%
5
3
0
1
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
52%
1-3
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.2
35.5
29.5
9
38%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
3-4
75%
3-6
3-7
50%
51%
0-4
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.2
32.1
32.3
23
53%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
5-6
83%
9-17
5-10
53%
49%
0-2
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
26.3
28.3
7
88%
4
0
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
56%
1-2
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
20.0
22.6
4
34%
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-2
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
15.9
18.0
7
44%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.3
13.9
21.9
3
31%
3
2
0
0
2
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
12.0
11.9
5
73%
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
4
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
58%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.6
2.2
0
0-0
56%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.2
2.0
0
0-1
47%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.5
2.0
0
0-0
53%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.1
0.5
0
0-0
50%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.