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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 3, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Bucks51%110123
10Celtics49%109116
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 24.4
39.1
32.1
32
71%
13
8
2
1
3
5
0
13
16-22
73%
8-12
8-14
67%
57%
0-1
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.7
38.6
32.8
20
68%
4
5
3
1
0
5
0
4
5-6
83%
3-6
5-10
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 31.1
29.3
24.8
7
58%
6
1
0
0
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
1-4
25%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 28.2
29.3
22.1
13
72%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
3-7
43%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 29.4
27.2
26.1
9
27%
1
4
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-4
0%
3-9
4-7
33%
53%
1-6
17%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 33.0
29.0
23.8
21
82%
4
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
7-9
2-4
78%
50%
2-3
67%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
28.3
27.4
14
64%
7
0
2
1
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
58%
4-9
44%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
13.5
18.6
5
87%
6
2
0
0
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 27.5
5.5
4.7
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 28.5
0.3
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 24.2
17.6
0
1-3
50%
D.J. Wilson
F · 6'10" 236 · 23.2
4.6
0
0-1
49%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.4
3.9
0
1-1
52%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 38.8
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 27.1
41.6
32.1
29
53%
3
6
3
1
0
4
1
2
11-12
92%
6-14
6-12
43%
50%
2-8
25%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.9
37.3
30.2
17
80%
8
5
0
1
0
3
2
6
6-6
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
54%
3-5
60%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.2
37.0
27.3
20
60%
11
3
3
1
0
1
2
9
6-6
100%
7-9
4-8
78%
48%
0-5
0%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 22.5
30.5
33.5
18
65%
5
2
2
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
3-5
4-8
60%
51%
3-7
43%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
29.9
26.6
16
100%
8
2
0
0
2
4
1
7
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
4-5
80%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 29.1
33.4
30.2
10
51%
7
5
0
1
0
2
0
7
4-4
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.1
14.5
22.5
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.4
11.0
8.8
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 27.1
2.7
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
58%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.4
2.1
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 21.5
5.5
0
1-1
54%
Brad Wanamaker
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.8
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.4
3.2
0
0-1
51%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.2
Jonathan Gibson
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.