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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 5, 2019
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets43%110116
10Trail Blazers57%112112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.2
41.4
31.7
21
78%
10
0
1
1
2
2
2
8
7-8
88%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
2-3
67%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
38.5
41.4
21
63%
12
11
2
2
0
3
6
6
4-4
100%
7-14
8-15
50%
55%
1-1
100%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.2
37.5
35.7
34
68%
5
4
0
1
0
2
0
5
11-11
100%
7-13
6-12
54%
48%
3-7
43%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
36.0
36.2
14
47%
5
0
1
1
1
0
3
2
2-2
100%
6-12
4-7
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
17.0
23.2
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
1-2
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.3
29.7
21.7
11
39%
5
3
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
3-8
38%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
15.6
11.9
4
52%
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
2
0-2
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
13.9
21.4
6
47%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
1-2
50%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.9
10.3
13.4
2
17%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
52%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.2
2.2
0
0-1
47%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.5
1.3
0
0-0
53%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.6
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.1
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.8
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.6
38.6
40.5
29
64%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
5-6
83%
6-12
6-13
50%
49%
4-8
50%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.8
36.1
40.3
28
52%
3
7
2
1
0
2
0
3
8-11
73%
7-15
5-11
47%
49%
2-7
29%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.6
35.5
31.1
19
73%
8
0
0
1
2
1
5
3
6-7
86%
5-6
2-5
83%
48%
1-4
25%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 27.0
29.4
35.0
5
43%
10
0
0
1
1
4
2
8
1-2
50%
2-5
7-12
40%
56%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.0
17.5
25.2
4
34%
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
56%
0-2
0%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.7
26.8
15.0
16
89%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
4-6
67%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 26.5
23.5
19.4
7
88%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
1-1
100%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 21.5
20.7
14.9
4
40%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
53%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
11.9
11.5
0
0%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.2
3.7
0
0-1
57%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 25.2
2.5
0
0-0
59%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 23.1
1.0
0
0-0
50%
Anfernee Simons
G · 6'4" 183 · 19.9
0.2
0
0-0
40%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.7
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.