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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 7, 2019
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Trail Blazers36%10898
7Nuggets64%114124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.8
32.3
38.4
22
47%
6
4
1
1
1
1
0
6
2-5
40%
7-12
5-11
58%
48%
2-9
22%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.6
28.6
39.5
12
38%
4
3
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-11
6-13
27%
48%
2-5
40%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 27.0
25.8
32.1
7
30%
8
3
0
1
0
1
3
5
3-6
50%
2-9
6-10
22%
55%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.6
23.9
33.0
3
19%
4
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.0
13.4
21.7
5
73%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.7
26.4
20.4
7
35%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
1-5
20%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 26.5
26.0
21.2
14
69%
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
4-5
80%
5-7
2-4
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 21.5
20.7
17.7
14
60%
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
3-4
75%
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
1-3
33%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.2
16.2
2.9
9
51%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-4
0%
0-1
0-0
0%
56%
3-6
50%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
11.1
11.7
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 25.2
5.2
1.9
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 23.1
5.2
1.0
2
41%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Anfernee Simons
G · 6'4" 183 · 19.9
5.2
0.3
2
35%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-2
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.7
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
36.9
35.9
16
55%
6
2
2
1
0
1
0
6
6-6
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
34.2
39.7
25
61%
19
6
0
1
0
3
6
13
5-6
83%
10-15
8-15
67%
56%
0-3
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.2
33.6
35.5
24
64%
8
2
1
1
2
1
0
8
4-6
67%
7-13
4-8
54%
51%
2-3
67%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.2
33.5
36.2
18
52%
5
9
0
1
1
0
2
3
3-3
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
49%
1-5
20%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
23.9
20.3
8
62%
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
7
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.3
25.6
25.1
10
51%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
2-5
40%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
18.4
13.5
4
69%
9
4
0
0
1
3
1
8
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.9
14.5
12.0
6
61%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
14.4
18.1
10
94%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.5
2.5
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.6
2.5
0.7
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.2
2.1
0
0-1
47%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.1
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.9
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.