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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
May 16, 2019
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Trail Blazers31%108111
5Warriors69%115114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.8
42.5
38.5
23
60%
5
10
1
1
0
2
1
4
6-7
86%
1-4
5-10
25%
48%
5-12
42%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.7
38.7
39.4
22
47%
3
5
1
1
0
4
2
1
1-1
100%
6-16
7-15
38%
48%
3-7
43%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.0
23.0
23.2
12
76%
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
55%
2-2
100%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.6
19.6
17.3
9
51%
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 27.0
19.1
31.5
4
67%
5
0
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
6-10
67%
54%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.7
29.2
18.9
16
81%
1
2
4
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
4-7
57%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
22.1
16.6
6
51%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 26.6
21.0
24.4
12
68%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.2
16.7
4.6
7
50%
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 21.5
8.2
20.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
51%
0-0
-
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 25.2
2.4
0
0-0
57%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 23.2
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Anfernee Simons
G · 6'4" 183 · 19.9
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.7
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 29.3
41.4
38.3
24
51%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
4-14
5-9
29%
51%
4-8
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.2
38.6
36.3
37
69%
8
8
0
1
0
6
0
8
11-11
100%
7-8
4-8
88%
53%
4-14
29%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.2
33.0
35.8
16
60%
10
7
0
1
5
5
0
10
0-3
0%
8-11
4-6
73%
55%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 35.3
30.8
32.0
4
33%
5
4
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
61%
0-3
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 34.5
3.6
7.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.3
29.3
22.7
14
96%
7
2
1
1
1
0
3
4
2-3
67%
6-6
3-5
100%
62%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 33.7
15.1
13.0
3
80%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 32.2
14.8
11.5
0
0%
7
2
0
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 24.4
13.8
8.6
11
63%
3
1
2
0
1
2
2
1
3-4
75%
4-7
1-2
57%
54%
0-0
-
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 26.1
9.7
10.9
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
8.6
11.0
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
1-1
100%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.9
1.5
10.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
0-0
-
Jacob Evans
G · 6'6" 199 · 21.9
2.5
0
0-0
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.8
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.