Final Win Prob. pScore
1323%107
110
277%117
126
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo Grizzlies
106.8103106.1
UTA logo Jazz
122.3103100.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

JazzGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.110
126
Q4 - 0:13.0GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point alley-oop dunk (Justise Winslow assists)110
126
Q4 - 0:18.2GrizzliesJustise Winslow defensive rebound108
126
Q4 - 0:21.7JazzMatt Thomas misses two point jump shot108
126
Q4 - 0:28.1JazzJuwan Morgan defensive rebound108
126
Q4 - 0:30.7GrizzliesTyus Jones misses two point driving layup108
126
Q4 - 0:34.9GrizzliesJohn Konchar defensive rebound108
126
Q4 - 0:37.5JazzJohn Konchar blocks Matt Thomas's two point fadeaway jump shot108
126
Q4 - 0:43.6JazzJuwan Morgan offensive rebound108
126
Q4 - 0:45.7JazzTrent Forrest misses two point driving finger roll layup108
126
Q4 - 1:01Stoppage (Out of bounds)108
126
Q4 - 1:01JazzJazz defensive rebound108
126
Q4 - 1:03GrizzliesJohn Konchar misses three point jump shot108
126
Q4 - 1:09Stoppage (Out of bounds)108
126
Q4 - 1:09GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound108
126
Q4 - 1:12GrizzliesTyus Jones misses three point jump shot108
126
Q4 - 1:22JazzJarrell Brantley turnover (traveling)108
126
Q4 - 1:30JazzJarrell Brantley defensive rebound108
126
Q4 - 1:33GrizzliesTyus Jones misses three point running pullup jump shot108
126
Q4 - 1:35GrizzliesXavier Tillman defensive rebound108
126
Q4 - 1:40JazzBrandon Clarke blocks Jarrell Brantley's two point driving layup108
126
Q4 - 2:00GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes two point turnaround jump shot108
126
Q4 - 2:17Jazz lineup change (Miye Oni, Matt Thomas, Trent Forrest, Jarrell Brantley, Juwan Morgan)106
126
Q4 - 2:17JazzDonovan Mitchell personal foul (Take) (Xavier Tillman draws the foul)106
126
Q4 - 2:17JazzDonovan Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Xavier Tillman steals)106
126
Q4 - 2:32JazzRoyce O'Neale defensive rebound106
126
Q4 - 2:36GrizzliesBrandon Clarke misses two point jump shot106
126
Q4 - 2:48Grizzlies lineup change (Brandon Clarke, John Konchar, Justise Winslow, Xavier Tillman, Tyus Jones)106
126
Q4 - 2:48Grizzlies 60 second timeout106
126
Q4 - 2:48JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot106
126
Q4 - 3:06GrizzliesTyus Jones makes two point driving layup106
124
Q4 - 3:13GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound104
124
Q4 - 3:17JazzRoyce O'Neale misses three point jump shot104
124
Q4 - 3:38JazzRudy Gobert defensive rebound104
124
Q4 - 3:39GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton misses three point stepback jump shot104
124
Q4 - 3:51JazzRudy Gobert makes two point tip layup104
124
Q4 - 3:51JazzRudy Gobert offensive rebound104
122
Q4 - 3:55JazzJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot104
122
Q4 - 4:14GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)104
122
Q4 - 4:28JazzRudy Gobert makes two point tip dunk101
122
Q4 - 4:28JazzRudy Gobert offensive rebound101
120
Q4 - 4:33JazzRudy Gobert misses two point alley-oop dunk101
120
Q4 - 4:42Stoppage (Out of bounds)101
120
Q4 - 4:57GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 1101
120
Q4 - 4:57JazzDonovan Mitchell shooting foul (De'Anthony Melton draws the foul)100
120
Q4 - 4:57GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes two point running layup100
120
Q4 - 4:59GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton defensive rebound98
120
Q4 - 5:02JazzJordan Clarkson misses three point fadeaway jump shot98
120
Q4 - 5:25GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)98
120
Q4 - 5:49JazzRoyce O'Neale makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)95
120
Q4 - 6:09Jazz lineup change (Jordan Clarkson, Rudy Gobert, Donovan Mitchell, Royce O'Neale, Bojan Bogdanovic)95
117
Q4 - 6:09Jazz 60 second timeout95
117
Q4 - 6:11GrizzliesJa Morant makes three point stepback jump shot95
117
Q4 - 6:19JazzJordan Clarkson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)92
117
Q4 - 6:36GrizzliesJa Morant makes three point pullup jump shot92
117
Q4 - 6:47GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound89
117
Q4 - 6:49JazzBojan Bogdanovic misses two point layup89
117
Q4 - 7:05Jazz lineup change (Jordan Clarkson, Rudy Gobert, Joe Ingles, Royce O'Neale, Bojan Bogdanovic)89
117
Q4 - 7:05Stoppage (Out of bounds)89
117
Q4 - 7:13JazzJordan Clarkson defensive rebound89
117
Q4 - 7:15GrizzliesJa Morant misses two point driving floating jump shot89
117
Q4 - 7:38JazzRudy Gobert makes two point dunk (Jordan Clarkson assists)89
117
Q4 - 7:55GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 189
115
Q4 - 7:55Jazz lineup change (Jordan Clarkson, Rudy Gobert, Donovan Mitchell, Royce O'Neale, Bojan Bogdanovic)88
115
Q4 - 7:55JazzRoyce O'Neale shooting foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)88
115
Q4 - 7:55GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point layup88
115
Q4 - 7:55GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. offensive rebound86
115
Q4 - 7:56GrizzliesRudy Gobert blocks Ja Morant's two point stepback jump shot86
115
Q4 - 8:18JazzJordan Clarkson makes three point jump shot (Royce O'Neale assists)86
115
Q4 - 8:26JazzRoyce O'Neale defensive rebound86
112
Q4 - 8:29GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot86
112
Q4 - 8:46JazzJordan Clarkson makes two point driving floating jump shot86
112
Q4 - 8:59GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)86
110
Q4 - 9:05GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton defensive rebound83
110
Q4 - 9:09JazzGeorges Niang misses three point jump shot83
110
Q4 - 9:21Jump ball. Rudy Gobert vs. Jaren Jackson Jr. (Donovan Mitchell gains possession)83
110
Q4 - 9:21JazzJazz defensive rebound83
110
Q4 - 9:23GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses two point alley-oop layup83
110
Q4 - 9:38JazzJordan Clarkson makes two point stepback jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)83
110
Q4 - 9:58Jazz lineup change (Jordan Clarkson, Rudy Gobert, Georges Niang, Donovan Mitchell, Royce O'Neale)83
108
Q4 - 9:58Jazz 60 second timeout83
108
Q4 - 9:59GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)83
108
Q4 - 10:10GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound80
108
Q4 - 10:10JazzRudy Gobert misses two point hook shot80
108
Q4 - 10:11JazzRudy Gobert offensive rebound80
108
Q4 - 10:15JazzJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot80
108
Q4 - 10:30GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point putback layup80
108
Q4 - 10:30GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. offensive rebound78
108
Q4 - 10:34GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point driving reverse layup78
108
Q4 - 10:37GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound78
108
Q4 - 10:40JazzJaren Jackson Jr. blocks Jordan Clarkson's two point stepback jump shot78
108
Q4 - 10:51JazzGeorges Niang defensive rebound78
108
Q4 - 10:53GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot78
108
Q4 - 11:06JazzRudy Gobert makes two point tip layup78
108
Q4 - 11:06JazzRudy Gobert offensive rebound78
106
Q4 - 11:09JazzRudy Gobert misses two point layup78
106
Q4 - 11:22GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point cutting dunk (Tyus Jones assists)78
106
Q4 - 11:32JazzGeorges Niang personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)76
106
Q4 - 11:34JazzGeorges Niang turnover (lost ball)76
106
Q4 - 11:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)76
106
Q4 - 11:38JazzJazz offensive rebound76
106
Q4 - 11:38JazzJaren Jackson Jr. blocks Georges Niang's two point driving layup76
106
Q4 - 11:47GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton personal foul (Jordan Clarkson draws the foul)76
106
Q4 - 12:00Jazz lineup change (Jordan Clarkson, Rudy Gobert, Trent Forrest, Joe Ingles, Georges Niang)76
106
Q4 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Jaren Jackson Jr., Tyus Jones, Ja Morant, De'Anthony Melton)76
106
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.76
106
Q3 - 0:00.0GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (lost ball) (Jordan Clarkson steals)76
106
Q3 - 0:02.4JazzJordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 1 of 176
106
Q3 - 0:02.4GrizzliesGrayson Allen shooting foul (Jordan Clarkson draws the foul)76
105
Q3 - 0:02.4JazzJordan Clarkson makes two point stepback jump shot76
105
Q3 - 0:24.7GrizzliesDesmond Bane turnover (lost ball) (Royce O'Neale steals)76
103
Q3 - 0:29.2GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound76
103
Q3 - 0:32.8JazzJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot76
103
Q3 - 0:47.2GrizzliesGrayson Allen makes two point running dunk (Desmond Bane assists)76
103
Q3 - 0:51.0JazzJordan Clarkson turnover (bad pass) (Desmond Bane steals)74
103
Q3 - 1:10GrizzliesJa Morant makes three point pullup jump shot74
103
Q3 - 1:21JazzJordan Clarkson makes three point jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)71
103
Q3 - 1:27Stoppage (Out of bounds)71
100
Q3 - 1:37GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 171
100
Q3 - 1:37Jazz lineup change (Jordan Clarkson, Rudy Gobert, Joe Ingles, Georges Niang, Royce O'Neale)70
100
Q3 - 1:37Grizzlies lineup change (Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Jaren Jackson Jr., Ja Morant, Desmond Bane)70
100
Q3 - 1:37JazzJordan Clarkson shooting foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)70
100
Q3 - 1:37GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point driving layup70
100
Q3 - 1:41JazzDerrick Favors turnover (lost ball) (Jonas Valanciunas steals)68
100
Q3 - 1:59GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting layup (Ja Morant assists)68
100
Q3 - 2:07GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound66
100
Q3 - 2:11JazzGeorges Niang misses three point jump shot66
100
Q3 - 2:21JazzRoyce O'Neale defensive rebound66
100
Q3 - 2:24GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas misses two point turnaround jump shot66
100
Q3 - 2:45JazzGeorges Niang makes three point jump shot (Jordan Clarkson assists)66
100
Q3 - 2:53GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Joe Ingles steals)66
97
Q3 - 3:11JazzJordan Clarkson makes two point stepback jump shot66
97
Q3 - 3:23Jazz lineup change (Derrick Favors, Jordan Clarkson, Joe Ingles, Georges Niang, Royce O'Neale)66
95
Q3 - 3:23Jazz 60 second timeout66
95
Q3 - 3:24GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot66
95
Q3 - 3:41JazzRoyce O'Neale makes two point putback layup64
95
Q3 - 3:41JazzRoyce O'Neale offensive rebound64
93
Q3 - 3:48JazzBojan Bogdanovic misses two point running layup64
93
Q3 - 3:52JazzDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound64
93
Q3 - 3:54GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point jump shot64
93
Q3 - 4:00GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound64
93
Q3 - 4:03JazzDonovan Mitchell misses two point layup64
93
Q3 - 4:19GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point pullup jump shot (Dillon Brooks assists)64
93
Q3 - 4:23GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound62
93
Q3 - 4:27JazzJordan Clarkson misses three point stepback jump shot62
93
Q3 - 4:48GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)62
93
Q3 - 5:07JazzDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 260
93
Q3 - 5:07JazzDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 260
92
Q3 - 5:07GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)60
91
Q3 - 5:23Jazz 60 second timeout60
91
Q3 - 5:23GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point tip layup60
91
Q3 - 5:23GrizzliesJa Morant offensive rebound58
91
Q3 - 5:24GrizzliesJa Morant misses two point driving layup58
91
Q3 - 5:33GrizzliesGrayson Allen defensive rebound58
91
Q3 - 5:37JazzBojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot58
91
Q3 - 5:57GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point turnaround jump shot (Dillon Brooks assists)58
91
Q3 - 6:25JazzJordan Clarkson makes three point jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)56
91
Q3 - 6:31JazzDerrick Favors defensive rebound56
88
Q3 - 6:33GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point driving layup56
88
Q3 - 6:36JazzBojan Bogdanovic turnover (lost ball) (Desmond Bane steals)56
88
Q3 - 6:38JazzBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound56
88
Q3 - 6:40GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot56
88
Q3 - 6:49GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound56
88
Q3 - 6:51JazzBojan Bogdanovic misses two point driving bank jump shot56
88
Q3 - 7:05GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes regular free throw 2 of 256
88
Q3 - 7:05Jazz lineup change (Derrick Favors, Jordan Clarkson, Donovan Mitchell, Royce O'Neale, Bojan Bogdanovic)55
88
Q3 - 7:05Grizzlies lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, Desmond Bane)55
88
Q3 - 7:05GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 255
88
Q3 - 7:05JazzDerrick Favors shooting foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)54
88
Q3 - 7:11GrizzliesDillon Brooks offensive rebound54
88
Q3 - 7:14GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point jump shot54
88
Q3 - 7:24JazzDerrick Favors makes two point dunk (Donovan Mitchell assists)54
88
Q3 - 7:38JazzRoyce O'Neale defensive rebound54
86
Q3 - 7:39GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses regular free throw 2 of 254
86
Q3 - 7:39Jazz lineup change (Derrick Favors, Joe Ingles, Donovan Mitchell, Royce O'Neale, Bojan Bogdanovic)54
86
Q3 - 7:39GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 254
86
Q3 - 7:39JazzRudy Gobert shooting foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)53
86
Q3 - 7:43GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound53
86
Q3 - 7:46JazzBojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot53
86
Q3 - 7:59Grizzlies lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Kyle Anderson, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, Desmond Bane)53
86
Q3 - 7:59GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (out of bounds bad pass)53
86
Q3 - 8:03GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound53
86
Q3 - 8:08JazzJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot53
86
Q3 - 8:19GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)53
86
Q3 - 8:19GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas offensive foul (Royce O'Neale draws the foul)53
86
Q3 - 8:29JazzRudy Gobert makes two point layup (Donovan Mitchell assists)53
86
Q3 - 8:38JazzDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound53
84
Q3 - 8:41GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses two point turnaround jump shot53
84
Q3 - 8:54JazzRoyce O'Neale makes two point running dunk (Donovan Mitchell assists)53
84
Q3 - 8:56JazzDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound53
82
Q3 - 9:00GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot53
82
Q3 - 9:08JazzRoyce O'Neale personal foul (Take) (Ja Morant draws the foul)53
82
Q3 - 9:11GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound53
82
Q3 - 9:14JazzJaren Jackson Jr. blocks Joe Ingles's two point driving layup53
82
Q3 - 9:21JazzRudy Gobert defensive rebound53
82
Q3 - 9:23GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point jump shot53
82
Q3 - 9:28JazzJoe Ingles personal foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)53
82
Q3 - 9:37Grizzlies 60 second timeout53
82
Q3 - 9:37JazzRudy Gobert makes two point dunk (Joe Ingles assists)53
82
Q3 - 9:49GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)53
80
Q3 - 9:49GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas offensive foul (Royce O'Neale draws the foul)53
80
Q3 - 10:00JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes two point pullup jump shot (Rudy Gobert assists)53
80
Q3 - 10:12JazzBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound53
78
Q3 - 10:14GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses three point pullup jump shot53
78
Q3 - 10:27GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound53
78
Q3 - 10:30JazzJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot53
78
Q3 - 10:44GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes regular free throw 2 of 253
78
Q3 - 10:44GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 252
78
Q3 - 10:44JazzRudy Gobert shooting foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)51
78
Q3 - 11:00JazzRoyce O'Neale makes two point running layup51
78
Q3 - 11:03GrizzliesDillon Brooks turnover (bad pass) (Royce O'Neale steals)51
76
Q3 - 11:16GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound51
76
Q3 - 11:17JazzRudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 251
76
Q3 - 11:17JazzRudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 251
76
Q3 - 11:17GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)51
75
Q3 - 11:19JazzRoyce O'Neale defensive rebound51
75
Q3 - 11:20GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas misses two point tip layup51
75
Q3 - 11:20GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound51
75
Q3 - 11:26GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point pullup jump shot51
75
Q3 - 11:37Stoppage (Out of bounds)51
75
Q3 - 11:37GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound51
75
Q3 - 11:39JazzDonovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot51
75
Q3 - 11:45JazzDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound51
75
Q3 - 11:46GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point jump shot51
75
Q3 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Kyle Anderson, Dillon Brooks, Jaren Jackson Jr., Ja Morant)51
75
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
75
Q2 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)51
75
Q2 - 0:00.1JazzDonovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot51
75
Q2 - 0:08.3JazzJoe Ingles defensive rebound51
72
Q2 - 0:10.6GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point driving layup51
72
Q2 - 0:24.6GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound51
72
Q2 - 0:28.2JazzJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot51
72
Q2 - 0:33.5GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point driving layup51
72
Q2 - 0:44.8JazzJoe Ingles personal foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)49
72
Q2 - 0:46.2JazzDonovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot49
72
Q2 - 1:07JazzDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound49
69
Q2 - 1:10GrizzliesGrayson Allen misses three point running pullup jump shot49
69
Q2 - 1:13GrizzliesGrayson Allen defensive rebound49
69
Q2 - 1:17JazzDonovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot49
69
Q2 - 1:22JazzDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound49
69
Q2 - 1:24GrizzliesRudy Gobert blocks Ja Morant's two point floating jump shot49
69
Q2 - 1:41JazzRoyce O'Neale makes two point cutting layup (Donovan Mitchell assists)49
69
Q2 - 1:50Grizzlies lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, Desmond Bane)49
67
Q2 - 1:50GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Take) (Royce O'Neale draws the foul)49
67
Q2 - 1:50GrizzliesDesmond Bane turnover (bad pass) (Royce O'Neale steals)49
67
Q2 - 2:02JazzRudy Gobert makes two point dunk (Joe Ingles assists)49
67
Q2 - 2:19GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)49
65
Q2 - 2:21GrizzliesJa Morant offensive rebound46
65
Q2 - 2:24GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point pullup jump shot46
65
Q2 - 2:30JazzRudy Gobert personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)46
65
Q2 - 2:50JazzDonovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot46
65
Q2 - 2:55JazzBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound46
62
Q2 - 2:58GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas misses three point jump shot46
62
Q2 - 3:14Stoppage (Out of bounds)46
62
Q2 - 3:14GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound46
62
Q2 - 3:15JazzBojan Bogdanovic misses two point jump shot46
62
Q2 - 3:16JazzBojan Bogdanovic offensive rebound46
62
Q2 - 3:19JazzRoyce O'Neale misses three point jump shot46
62
Q2 - 3:39GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point driving floating jump shot46
62
Q2 - 3:52Jazz lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Joe Ingles, Donovan Mitchell, Royce O'Neale, Bojan Bogdanovic)44
62
Q2 - 3:52Grizzlies lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Dillon Brooks, Jaren Jackson Jr., Ja Morant, Desmond Bane)44
62
Q2 - 3:52JazzJordan Clarkson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)44
62
Q2 - 3:57JazzJoe Ingles defensive rebound44
62
Q2 - 3:59GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton misses three point stepback jump shot44
62
Q2 - 4:23JazzBojan Bogdanovic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)44
62
Q2 - 4:43GrizzliesJa Morant makes three point pullup jump shot (Jonas Valanciunas assists)44
62
Q2 - 4:59JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 241
62
Q2 - 4:59JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 241
61
Q2 - 4:59GrizzliesKyle Anderson shooting foul (Bojan Bogdanovic draws the foul)41
60
Q2 - 5:10Jazz lineup change (Derrick Favors, Jordan Clarkson, Joe Ingles, Royce O'Neale, Bojan Bogdanovic)41
60
Q2 - 5:10Jazz 60 second timeout41
60
Q2 - 5:13GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas turnover (bad pass) (Bojan Bogdanovic steals)41
60
Q2 - 5:18JazzDonovan Mitchell turnover (lost ball) (Jonas Valanciunas steals)41
60
Q2 - 5:27GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point pullup jump shot41
60
Q2 - 5:42JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes two point cutting layup (Donovan Mitchell assists)39
60
Q2 - 5:56GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point tip layup39
58
Q2 - 5:56GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound37
58
Q2 - 5:59GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas misses two point turnaround jump shot37
58
Q2 - 6:10JazzDonovan Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)37
58
Q2 - 6:17JazzBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound37
58
Q2 - 6:20GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point pullup jump shot37
58
Q2 - 6:31JazzRoyce O'Neale personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)37
58
Q2 - 6:43Jazz lineup change (Derrick Favors, Jordan Clarkson, Donovan Mitchell, Royce O'Neale, Bojan Bogdanovic)37
58
Q2 - 6:43JazzBojan Bogdanovic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)37
58
Q2 - 6:46JazzRudy Gobert defensive rebound37
58
Q2 - 6:49GrizzliesRudy Gobert blocks Dillon Brooks's two point pullup jump shot37
58
Q2 - 7:02JazzRudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 237
58
Q2 - 7:02Jazz lineup change (Jordan Clarkson, Rudy Gobert, Donovan Mitchell, Royce O'Neale, Bojan Bogdanovic)37
57
Q2 - 7:02Grizzlies lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Kyle Anderson, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, De'Anthony Melton)37
57
Q2 - 7:02JazzRudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 237
57
Q2 - 7:02GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton shooting foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)37
56
Q2 - 7:02JazzRudy Gobert offensive rebound37
56
Q2 - 7:05JazzBojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot37
56
Q2 - 7:08GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton turnover (bad pass) (Donovan Mitchell steals)37
56
Q2 - 7:10JazzRudy Gobert turnover (lost ball) (De'Anthony Melton steals)37
56
Q2 - 7:28GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes three point jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)37
56
Q2 - 7:30GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound34
56
Q2 - 7:37JazzJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot34
56
Q2 - 7:52JazzRudy Gobert defensive rebound34
56
Q2 - 7:55GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point jump shot34
56
Q2 - 8:06Jazz lineup change (Jordan Clarkson, Rudy Gobert, Joe Ingles, Donovan Mitchell, Bojan Bogdanovic)34
56
Q2 - 8:06Grizzlies lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Kyle Anderson, Tyus Jones, De'Anthony Melton, Desmond Bane)34
56
Q2 - 8:06Grizzlies 60 second timeout34
56
Q2 - 8:06JazzRudy Gobert makes two point cutting dunk (Donovan Mitchell assists)34
56
Q2 - 8:13JazzRudy Gobert defensive rebound34
54
Q2 - 8:16GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses two point pullup jump shot34
54
Q2 - 8:25Stoppage (Out of bounds)34
54
Q2 - 8:40JazzDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 134
54
Q2 - 8:40GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)34
53
Q2 - 8:40JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup34
53
Q2 - 8:51JazzGeorges Niang defensive rebound34
51
Q2 - 8:54GrizzliesTyus Jones misses two point floating jump shot34
51
Q2 - 8:58Jazz lineup change (Jordan Clarkson, Rudy Gobert, Joe Ingles, Georges Niang, Donovan Mitchell)34
51
Q2 - 8:58JazzJordan Clarkson personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)34
51
Q2 - 9:09JazzRudy Gobert makes two point putback layup34
51
Q2 - 9:09JazzRudy Gobert offensive rebound34
49
Q2 - 9:13JazzJordan Clarkson misses two point driving floating jump shot34
49
Q2 - 9:24JazzRudy Gobert defensive rebound34
49
Q2 - 9:27GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot34
49
Q2 - 9:37GrizzliesDe'Anthony Melton defensive rebound34
49
Q2 - 9:40JazzGeorges Niang misses three point jump shot34
49
Q2 - 9:55GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)34
49
Q2 - 10:00GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound31
49
Q2 - 10:03JazzGeorges Niang misses three point jump shot31
49
Q2 - 10:23GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point bank jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)31
49
Q2 - 10:38JazzJordan Clarkson makes two point driving floating jump shot29
49
Q2 - 10:43JazzGeorges Niang defensive rebound29
47
Q2 - 10:46GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot29
47
Q2 - 10:59JazzJazz turnover (shot clock violation)29
47
Q2 - 10:59JazzJazz offensive rebound29
47
Q2 - 10:59JazzDe'Anthony Melton blocks Jordan Clarkson's three point jump shot29
47
Q2 - 11:26GrizzliesTyus Jones makes two point driving floating jump shot29
47
Q2 - 11:33GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound27
47
Q2 - 11:36JazzMike Conley misses two point pullup jump shot27
47
Q2 - 11:45JazzGeorges Niang defensive rebound27
47
Q2 - 11:50GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot27
47
Q2 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Jaren Jackson Jr., Tyus Jones, De'Anthony Melton, Desmond Bane)27
47
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.27
47
Q1 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)27
47
Q1 - 0:00.0JazzMike Conley makes two point turnaround jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)27
47
Q1 - 0:00.8GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Take) (Mike Conley draws the foul)27
45
Q1 - 0:04.0JazzGeorges Niang defensive rebound27
45
Q1 - 0:05.9GrizzliesGeorges Niang blocks Ja Morant's two point driving layup27
45
Q1 - 0:27.9GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound27
45
Q1 - 0:30.7JazzJordan Clarkson misses three point stepback jump shot27
45
Q1 - 0:38.6GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving dunk (Ja Morant assists)27
45
Q1 - 0:55.8JazzGeorges Niang personal foul (Take) (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)25
45
Q1 - 0:57.9JazzJordan Clarkson turnover (bad pass) (Dillon Brooks steals)25
45
Q1 - 1:05JazzGeorges Niang defensive rebound25
45
Q1 - 1:08GrizzliesJa Morant misses two point floating jump shot25
45
Q1 - 1:23JazzGeorges Niang makes three point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)25
45
Q1 - 1:37GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point driving layup25
42
Q1 - 1:57JazzMike Conley makes two point driving hook shot23
42
Q1 - 2:05JazzJoe Ingles defensive rebound23
40
Q1 - 2:07GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point stepback jump shot23
40
Q1 - 2:15GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound23
40
Q1 - 2:19JazzJordan Clarkson misses three point pullup jump shot23
40
Q1 - 2:32JazzGeorges Niang offensive rebound23
40
Q1 - 2:32JazzJordan Clarkson misses three point pullup jump shot23
40
Q1 - 2:47GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point driving layup (Desmond Bane assists)23
40
Q1 - 3:07Jazz lineup change (Jordan Clarkson, Rudy Gobert, Mike Conley, Joe Ingles, Georges Niang)21
40
Q1 - 3:07Grizzlies lineup change (Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Jaren Jackson Jr., Ja Morant, Desmond Bane)21
40
Q1 - 3:07Stoppage (Out of bounds)21
40
Q1 - 3:07GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound21
40
Q1 - 3:09JazzRoyce O'Neale misses three point jump shot21
40
Q1 - 3:23GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point stepback jump shot21
40
Q1 - 3:29Jump ball. Grayson Allen vs. Royce O'Neale (Grizzlies gains possession)19
40
Q1 - 3:31GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound19
40
Q1 - 3:31GrizzliesRoyce O'Neale blocks Grayson Allen's two point driving layup19
40
Q1 - 3:32GrizzliesGrayson Allen offensive rebound19
40
Q1 - 3:35GrizzliesGrayson Allen misses three point pullup jump shot19
40
Q1 - 3:47JazzJordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 2 of 219
40
Q1 - 3:47JazzJordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 1 of 219
39
Q1 - 3:47GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Jordan Clarkson draws the foul)19
38
Q1 - 3:55JazzJoe Ingles defensive rebound19
38
Q1 - 3:59GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point pullup jump shot19
38
Q1 - 4:12JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes three point running pullup jump shot (Jordan Clarkson assists)19
38
Q1 - 4:16GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Jordan Clarkson steals)19
35
Q1 - 4:40JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Royce O'Neale assists)19
35
Q1 - 4:55GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point driving layup19
32
Q1 - 5:05JazzJordan Clarkson makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)17
32
Q1 - 5:22GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point pullup jump shot (Ja Morant assists)17
30
Q1 - 5:37Jazz lineup change (Derrick Favors, Jordan Clarkson, Joe Ingles, Royce O'Neale, Bojan Bogdanovic)14
30
Q1 - 5:37JazzDonovan Mitchell personal foul (Take) (Desmond Bane draws the foul)14
30
Q1 - 5:38GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound14
30
Q1 - 5:40JazzBojan Bogdanovic misses two point driving layup14
30
Q1 - 5:47JazzBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound14
30
Q1 - 5:50GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point pullup jump shot14
30
Q1 - 5:57JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup14
30
Q1 - 6:18GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting dunk (Ja Morant assists)14
28
Q1 - 6:34Jazz lineup change (Derrick Favors, Joe Ingles, Donovan Mitchell, Royce O'Neale, Bojan Bogdanovic)12
28
Q1 - 6:34Grizzlies lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Ja Morant, Desmond Bane)12
28
Q1 - 6:34Grizzlies 60 second timeout12
28
Q1 - 6:34JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup12
28
Q1 - 6:39JazzRudy Gobert defensive rebound12
26
Q1 - 6:40GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses two point driving finger roll layup12
26
Q1 - 6:53JazzRoyce O'Neale makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)12
26
Q1 - 7:04GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point pullup jump shot12
23
Q1 - 7:22JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating bank jump shot10
23
Q1 - 7:35GrizzliesJa Morant makes three point pullup jump shot10
21
Q1 - 7:55JazzRoyce O'Neale makes three point running jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)7
21
Q1 - 8:01JazzBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound7
18
Q1 - 8:04GrizzliesJa Morant misses two point driving floating jump shot7
18
Q1 - 8:16JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes two point driving layup (Rudy Gobert assists)7
18
Q1 - 8:27JazzRudy Gobert defensive rebound7
16
Q1 - 8:30GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot7
16
Q1 - 8:46Grizzlies 60 second timeout7
16
Q1 - 8:48JazzDonovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot7
16
Q1 - 8:55Stoppage (Out of bounds)7
13
Q1 - 8:58GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas turnover (lost ball) (Bojan Bogdanovic steals)7
13
Q1 - 8:59GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound7
13
Q1 - 9:04JazzRoyce O'Neale misses three point jump shot7
13
Q1 - 9:08GrizzliesDillon Brooks turnover (bad pass) (Royce O'Neale steals)7
13
Q1 - 9:24JazzBojan Bogdanovic makes three point pullup jump shot (Mike Conley assists)7
13
Q1 - 9:32GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point turnaround hook shot (Ja Morant assists)7
10
Q1 - 9:52JazzMike Conley makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)5
10
Q1 - 10:02JazzBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound5
7
Q1 - 10:05GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas misses three point jump shot5
7
Q1 - 10:14GrizzliesJaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound5
7
Q1 - 10:16JazzDonovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot5
7
Q1 - 10:35GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point cutting layup (Ja Morant assists)5
7
Q1 - 10:49JazzDonovan Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)3
7
Q1 - 11:06GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes three point jump shot (Dillon Brooks assists)3
4
Q1 - 11:14JazzRudy Gobert makes two point tip layup0
4
Q1 - 11:14JazzRudy Gobert offensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:17JazzDonovan Mitchell misses two point floating jump shot0
2
Q1 - 11:30GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (out of bounds lost ball)0
2
Q1 - 11:39JazzDonovan Mitchell makes two point pullup jump shot0
2
Q1 - 12:00Jonas Valanciunas vs. Rudy Gobert (Royce O'Neale gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Jazz lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Mike Conley, Donovan Mitchell, Royce O'Neale, Bojan Bogdanovic)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Grizzlies lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Kyle Anderson, Dillon Brooks, Jaren Jackson Jr., Ja Morant)0
0
ClockTeamEventMEMUTA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.10 55.0%
UTA
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
17
26
65%
UTA
21
32
66%
Midrange
MEM
13
30
43%
UTA
11
19
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
14
21.0
39
36%
54%
UTA
17
25.5
44
39%
58%
Free Throws
MEM
8
9
89%
UTA
11
12
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Brooks2764%13.5 / 21
J. Morant2761%13.5 / 22
J. Valančiūnas1869%9.0 / 13
J. Jackson1568%7.5 / 11
D. Melton650%3.0 / 6
D. Bane542%2.5 / 6
T. Jones433%2.0 / 6
K. Anderson220%1.0 / 5
G. Allen225%1.0 / 4
B. Clarke250%1.0 / 2
X. Tillman2100%1.0 / 1
J. Konchar0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell3088%15.0 / 17
J. Clarkson2457%12.0 / 21
R. Gobert2377%11.5 / 15
R. O'Neale1777%8.5 / 11
B. Bogdanovic1757%8.5 / 15
M. Conley788%3.5 / 4
G. Niang643%3.0 / 7
D. Favors2100%1.0 / 1
J. Ingles0-0.0 / 5
T. Forrest0-0.0 / 1
J. Brantley0-0.0 / 1
M. Thomas0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
89
+10
-14
99
UTA
89
+13
-14
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.10 55.0%
UTA
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.5
120.4
MEM 106.8
UTA 122.3 +15.5
Pace
99.6
97.1
MEM 106.1 +6.0
UTA 100.1
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
15.0
MEM 13.6 −0.8
UTA 14.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.3%
57.9%
MEM 53.7%
UTA 60.5% +6.8%
TO %
10.4%
12.9%
MEM 12.4% −0.6%
UTA 13.0%
ORB %
23.8%
23.7%
MEM 16.7%
UTA 26.2% +9.5%
FTrt
21.4
28.9
MEM 9.5
UTA 12.6 +3.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
49.8%
49.4%
MEM 52.3%
UTA 55.1% +2.8%
STL %
8.0%
5.4%
MEM 6.8%
UTA 9.7% +2.9%
BLK %
8.9%
7.6%
MEM 11.8% +2.9%
UTA 8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.1%
59.4%
MEM 55.0%
UTA 61.2% +6.2%
Rim FG%
60.9%
61.9%
MEM 65.4%
UTA 65.6% +0.2%
Mid FG%
46.4%
42.6%
MEM 43.3%
UTA 57.9% +14.6%
3P %
32.9%
41.3%
MEM 35.9%
UTA 38.6% +2.7%
FT %
80.2%
80.1%
MEM 88.9%
UTA 91.7% +2.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.1%
27.8%
MEM 27.4%
UTA 33.7% +6.3%
Mid Att. %
32.4%
20.3%
MEM 31.6%
UTA 20.0% −11.6%
3P Att. %
33.5%
51.9%
MEM 41.1%
UTA 46.3% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.
Game TotalsMEMUTA
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points110126
Rebounds3951
Assists2327
Steals710
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (1)
Fouls1216
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)40 (2)
Field Goals44-9549-95
At-the-Rim FG17-2621-32
Midrange FG13-3011-19
2-Point FG30-5632-51
3-Point FG14-3917-44
Free Throws8-911-12
Fast Break Pts1312
2nd Chance Pts1614
Points in Paint5260
Pts off Turnovers1824
Bench Points2132
Biggest Lead035

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#24 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 25
40.2
27
64%
5
3
1
0
2
0
1
4
6-7
86%
6-13
46%
3-5
60%
#12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 22
40.2
27
61%
7
11
0
0
5
0
2
5
0-0
-
6-13
46%
5-9
56%
#13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 22
29.3
15
68%
7
0
0
3
0
4
2
5
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
2-6
33%
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29
27.4
18
69%
6
1
2
0
4
4
2
4
0-0
-
6-9
67%
2-4
50%
#1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 28
18.5
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
#22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23
23.4
5
42%
3
4
2
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
#0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23
17.3
6
50%
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
#21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 25
17.0
4
33%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
#3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 26
15.5
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
#15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25
2.8
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25
2.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22
2.8
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#10 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#35 · C · 6'10" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 22
INACTIVE
#30 · SF · 6'6" 195 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
55%
39
23
7
6
14
12
8
31
8-9
89%
30-56
54%
14-39
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.