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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
April 22, 2022
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Heat46%108110
14Hawks54%109111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 32.6
40.6
36.5
20
47%
10
8
2
2
1
2
4
6
3-3
100%
7-15
6-12
47%
51%
1-5
20%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 24.8
35.0
27.5
13
63%
11
5
3
1
0
3
2
9
3-3
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
56%
0-0
-
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 37.0
33.1
23.7
11
80%
7
4
0
1
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
29.1
22.6
20
70%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-3
33%
2-3
1-1
67%
59%
5-10
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 36.1
22.9
32.6
6
43%
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
2-6
33%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 22.3
33.5
29.8
24
55%
7
4
0
1
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
6-11
4-8
55%
49%
4-11
36%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.9
17.7
24.3
3
23%
1
3
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-5
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.0
14.4
13.2
6
56%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
0-0
0-0
-
60%
1-4
25%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 32.7
13.0
13.8
7
51%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
59%
0-1
0%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.6
0.8
13.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.0
5.9
0
1-1
47%
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.8
3.7
0
1-1
56%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
3.0
0
0-0
48%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.6
2.4
0
0-0
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 41.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 23.6
40.4
36.5
24
62%
4
8
1
1
0
3
0
4
10-12
83%
4-8
5-11
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 23.7
33.5
29.8
13
47%
5
4
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
51%
1-8
13%
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.4
31.5
33.0
17
61%
0
0
0
1
0
4
0
0
1-2
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
2-6
33%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 33.7
25.0
27.1
11
70%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
1-1
100%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
23.9
25.4
6
47%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
1-5
4-7
20%
59%
1-1
100%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.7
31.9
27.5
18
53%
8
6
2
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
51%
4-9
44%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 30.0
29.8
23.9
13
101%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-1
0%
5-5
1-2
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 21.4
24.1
20.4
9
101%
6
0
1
1
2
1
2
4
1-1
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
63%
0-0
-
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 27.0
7.4
0
0-1
46%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 32.3
1.4
0
0-0
56%
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 210 · 20.3
1.1
0
0-0
52%
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 22.7
0.8
0
0-0
40%
Skylar Mays
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
0.8
0
0-0
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 35.5
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.