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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Tuesday
May 3, 2022
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Bucks32%10386
1Celtics68%109109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.9
39.8
35.1
19
44%
4
7
2
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
6-14
5-10
43%
50%
1-6
17%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 27.4
37.7
35.7
28
45%
9
7
1
1
1
6
1
8
5-9
56%
10-23
9-16
43%
59%
1-4
25%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 35.6
29.9
27.4
4
69%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 27.2
26.0
30.6
13
78%
8
0
0
1
0
2
1
7
3-3
100%
5-5
4-7
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 34.1
25.4
27.6
2
50%
6
0
0
1
3
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
4-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 26.6
28.4
27.5
5
47%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-3
33%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
25.0
21.8
13
93%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-5
1-1
100%
59%
1-2
50%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 26.6
18.6
20.3
2
100%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
1.9
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Jordan Nwora
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
1.9
1.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.8
1.9
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Rayjon Tucker
G · 6'3" 209 · 24.6
1.9
0.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Luca Vildoza
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
1.9
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-1
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 30.7
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 36.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.2
42.6
39.7
29
65%
3
8
3
1
1
4
1
2
4-5
80%
5-10
6-11
50%
51%
5-10
50%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 25.5
38.2
38.0
30
79%
5
6
2
1
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
5-8
7-12
63%
54%
6-10
60%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.9
37.1
33.8
11
56%
11
3
4
1
1
1
0
11
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
1-5
20%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.8
28.4
17.1
0
0%
4
5
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
0-4
0%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 24.5
25.2
21.2
10
85%
5
1
0
1
2
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-5
3-4
80%
70%
0-0
-
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.4
35.4
29.5
21
71%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-5
2-3
20%
55%
6-9
67%
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.3
23.7
10.6
6
50%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.5
1.9
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 24.4
1.9
1.4
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 26.8
1.9
1.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
61%
0-0
-
Malik Fitts
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
1.9
0.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
1.9
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 30.1
8.5
0
1-2
62%
Juwan Morgan
F · 6'8" 232 · 25.0
0.9
0
0-0
57%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.