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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Tuesday
May 17, 2022
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics48%102107
6Heat52%103118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.2
44.0
39.2
29
58%
8
6
4
1
1
7
1
7
7-9
78%
8-12
6-11
67%
50%
2-9
22%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 25.6
42.8
37.2
24
56%
10
3
1
1
0
2
2
8
6-10
60%
3-9
6-11
33%
53%
4-8
50%
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.5
34.5
33.4
7
60%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.9
29.0
24.0
3
31%
0
4
0
1
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 24.6
28.4
12.6
18
81%
9
1
0
0
2
1
2
7
6-7
86%
6-8
2-3
75%
69%
0-0
-
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.3
30.4
12.8
18
53%
5
4
1
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
49%
4-11
36%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 30.1
19.6
8.1
8
80%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
61%
0-0
-
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.6
11.3
1.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
3
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-3
0%
Juwan Morgan
F · 6'8" 232 · 25.1
1.0
0
0-0
50%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 26.8
0.8
0
0-0
55%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
0.6
0
0-0
43%
Malik Fitts
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
0.5
0
0-0
43%
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 24.4
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.2
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 32.7
41.3
38.6
41
76%
9
5
4
2
3
2
5
4
17-18
94%
12-17
7-14
71%
51%
0-2
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 24.8
37.5
32.3
10
81%
4
1
0
1
4
2
0
4
4-5
80%
3-4
5-10
75%
55%
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.9
33.7
24.0
17
72%
2
3
0
1
3
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
3-7
43%
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 37.0
31.3
32.4
5
43%
6
3
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-2
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
30.1
32.9
11
61%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
59%
3-8
38%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 22.3
27.5
22.1
18
55%
8
3
1
0
0
4
1
7
3-3
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
1-5
20%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.0
15.4
21.4
5
28%
1
1
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-5
14%
47%
1-2
50%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.6
12.8
6.3
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 32.8
10.5
11.0
6
51%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
58%
0-1
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.1
5.7
0
0-0
56%
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.9
2.3
0
0-1
54%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.7
2.2
0
0-0
50%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
1.5
0
0-0
47%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 36.1
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 41.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.