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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
May 19, 2022
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics48%101127
6Heat52%102102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.2
40.3
37.6
24
51%
9
12
3
2
1
1
2
7
3-3
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
48%
5-12
42%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 25.6
33.3
39.4
24
67%
8
3
0
1
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
5-10
6-11
50%
53%
4-7
57%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.0
32.6
38.5
10
125%
3
3
1
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
53%
2-2
100%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.2
31.5
41.1
27
84%
5
5
1
1
0
3
0
5
7-7
100%
4-7
6-12
57%
50%
4-6
67%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 24.6
19.9
20.7
5
73%
4
0
1
1
3
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-3
3-4
67%
69%
0-0
-
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.5
32.2
33.7
19
90%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
7-8
88%
3-5
2-3
60%
52%
2-2
100%
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.3
23.1
20.7
10
63%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
2-6
33%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.6
6.5
5.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
55%
0-2
0%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 30.1
6.3
13.3
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
61%
0-0
-
Juwan Morgan
F · 6'8" 232 · 25.1
5.0
0.9
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-1
0%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 26.8
5.0
0.4
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
60%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
4.4
0.1
3
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
0%
1-2
50%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.9
25.9
1
2-4
50%
Malik Fitts
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
0.1
0
0-0
50%
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 32.7
32.5
39.6
29
67%
6
3
1
2
0
3
5
1
6-8
75%
10-15
7-15
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 24.8
28.7
35.4
6
47%
9
2
0
1
0
1
3
6
0-1
0%
3-6
5-10
50%
55%
0-0
-
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
25.9
30.7
6
43%
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
2-7
29%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.9
24.3
30.0
14
70%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
4-8
50%
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 37.0
21.7
31.0
5
36%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-2
0%
1-5
2-4
20%
51%
1-1
100%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.0
26.3
17.4
14
56%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
9-10
90%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-5
20%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 22.3
23.7
25.6
11
48%
1
3
0
1
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
0-3
0%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.6
17.6
10.3
7
44%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.1
14.3
2.5
6
43%
5
3
1
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
50%
0-4
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 32.8
13.0
10.3
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
57%
0-0
-
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.9
6.3
1.0
2
33%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
53%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
5.8
0.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.7
1.9
0
0-0
49%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 36.2
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 41.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.