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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 16, 2023
5:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat
130
7Bucks
117
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.6
43
39
35
5
11
3
2
0
3
0
5
5-8
63%
15-26
8-15
58%
52%
0-1
0%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
38
29
8
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
2-4
50%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.8
33
24
15
2
6
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
4-5
80%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.7
33
34
22
9
7
2
1
0
5
1
8
2-3
67%
10-18
6-12
56%
54%
0-0
-
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.2
19
34
12
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
2-4
50%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.5
26
25
15
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
2-3
67%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 34.6
23
9
18
8
1
0
0
0
0
1
7
4-4
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
4-7
57%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 37.1
19
21
2
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.0
6
8
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
57%
1-1
100%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.9
8
0
1-1
46%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
7
0
0-1
50%
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.8
5
0
1-1
54%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.5
4
0
1-1
56%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 42.9
2
0
0-0
43%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 19.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 35.0
36
32
10
4
1
1
1
3
3
1
3
2-3
67%
4-4
5-9
100%
61%
0-3
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.8
35
32
16
7
16
1
1
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
53%
2-9
22%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 31.7
33
19
33
9
4
0
1
0
5
2
7
7-10
70%
10-13
3-5
77%
51%
2-7
29%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 27.5
31
22
12
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
52%
2-4
50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 28.4
11
31
6
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
2-4
10-16
50%
60%
0-0
-
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 28.2
27
19
21
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
3-3
100%
9-10
3-5
90%
54%
0-5
0%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 27.6
23
22
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 36.5
18
18
6
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
2-4
50%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 35.5
15
16
9
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
58%
3-7
43%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 32.8
12
22
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-4
0%
MarJon Beauchamp
F · 6'6" 199 · 22.5
23
1
2-3
51%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 30.7
20
1
2-4
56%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.1
20
0
1-2
59%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 36.9
15
0
1-3
48%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
6
0
0-0
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.