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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 19, 2023
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Heat38%103122
10Bucks62%108138
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
31.4
33.0
4
45%
5
1
2
1
0
0
2
3
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
54%
1-4
25%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.6
28.3
40.4
25
76%
3
3
2
2
0
1
1
2
7-10
70%
6-8
9-16
75%
52%
2-4
50%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.0
25.6
7.7
14
88%
5
3
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
57%
4-6
67%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.8
24.9
33.2
18
55%
5
1
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-1
0%
9-16
7-12
56%
54%
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.8
21.0
28.3
16
64%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
4-9
44%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.6
29.0
25.4
15
80%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
2-4
50%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.0
26.3
5.7
15
52%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
1-3
33%
4-9
0-1
44%
46%
2-4
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 37.1
18.4
19.7
5
50%
4
3
1
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
12.0
5.0
2
50%
2
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.5
12.0
2.7
4
100%
8
3
0
0
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 34.6
11.1
15.1
4
53%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.8
3.1
0
0-1
54%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 42.9
1.1
0
0-0
44%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 19.9
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 35.0
33.6
33.3
25
72%
4
2
2
1
1
2
3
1
1-1
100%
12-16
5-8
75%
62%
0-1
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.9
32.8
33.2
24
63%
5
11
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
53%
4-10
40%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 27.5
31.1
26.2
16
65%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
4-8
50%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 28.2
27.9
25.2
13
72%
15
5
1
0
2
1
3
12
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
55%
3-4
75%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 31.7
27.7
25.8
16
47%
6
7
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-11
4-7
36%
51%
2-5
40%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
25.1
2.8
22
92%
4
3
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
59%
6-10
60%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 35.5
25.1
15.0
17
121%
4
4
2
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
56%
5-6
83%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 32.8
15.4
13.5
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 27.6
14.1
22.2
3
50%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-3
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 37.0
3.3
3.9
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
MarJon Beauchamp
F · 6'6" 199 · 22.5
1.3
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 30.8
1.3
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.1
1.3
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
57%
0-0
-
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 28.4
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 36.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.