Final Win Prob. pScore
948%105
99
1652%106
121
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo Bucks
101.098102.6
MIA logo Heat
123.59893.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.99
121
Q4 - 0:04.0HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)99
121
Q4 - 0:28.0HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound99
121
Q4 - 0:28.6BucksGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup99
121
Q4 - 0:45.6BucksMeyers Leonard defensive rebound99
121
Q4 - 0:47.8HeatUdonis Haslem misses three point jump shot99
121
Q4 - 1:10BucksJae Crowder makes two point layup99
121
Q4 - 1:10HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Jae Crowder steals)97
121
Q4 - 1:11HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound97
121
Q4 - 1:13BucksMarJon Beauchamp misses two point cutting layup97
121
Q4 - 1:24HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)97
121
Q4 - 1:48BucksMarJon Beauchamp makes three point jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)97
119
Q4 - 1:50BucksJae Crowder defensive rebound94
119
Q4 - 1:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point pullup jump shot94
119
Q4 - 2:11BucksMarJon Beauchamp makes two point pullup jump shot94
119
Q4 - 2:20BucksMarJon Beauchamp defensive rebound92
119
Q4 - 2:22HeatUdonis Haslem misses two point bank jump shot92
119
Q4 - 2:28Heat lineup change (Udonis Haslem, Omer Yurtseven, Cody Zeller, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)92
119
Q4 - 2:28Stoppage (Out of bounds)92
119
Q4 - 2:37BucksJae Crowder makes two point driving floating jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)92
119
Q4 - 2:49HeatCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Omer Yurtseven assists)90
119
Q4 - 2:54HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound90
117
Q4 - 2:58HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot90
117
Q4 - 3:18BucksGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 290
117
Q4 - 3:18BucksGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 289
117
Q4 - 3:18HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Goran Dragic draws the foul)88
117
Q4 - 3:18BucksBucks offensive rebound88
117
Q4 - 3:20BucksGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot88
117
Q4 - 3:25Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Omer Yurtseven, Cody Zeller, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)88
117
Q4 - 3:25HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Take) (MarJon Beauchamp draws the foul)88
117
Q4 - 3:31HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)88
117
Q4 - 3:40HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound88
114
Q4 - 3:42BucksJae Crowder misses two point pullup jump shot88
114
Q4 - 3:56HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 2 of 288
114
Q4 - 3:56Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Cody Zeller, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)88
113
Q4 - 3:56HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 288
113
Q4 - 3:56Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)88
112
Q4 - 3:56Bucks lineup change (Thanasis Antetokounmpo, MarJon Beauchamp, Jae Crowder, Goran Dragic, Meyers Leonard)88
112
Q4 - 3:56Heat 60 second timeout88
112
Q4 - 3:56BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)88
112
Q4 - 4:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound88
112
Q4 - 4:10BucksBobby Portis misses two point hook shot88
112
Q4 - 4:21BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound88
112
Q4 - 4:24HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot88
112
Q4 - 4:42HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound88
112
Q4 - 4:44BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot88
112
Q4 - 5:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot88
112
Q4 - 5:22BucksJae Crowder makes regular free throw 2 of 288
110
Q4 - 5:22BucksJae Crowder misses regular free throw 1 of 287
110
Q4 - 5:22HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Jae Crowder draws the foul)87
110
Q4 - 5:31HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Bobby Portis steals)87
110
Q4 - 5:49BucksJoe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)87
110
Q4 - 6:04HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)87
110
Q4 - 6:09Bucks lineup change (Jevon Carter, Joe Ingles, Jae Crowder, Pat Connaughton, Bobby Portis)87
108
Q4 - 6:09Heat 60 second timeout87
108
Q4 - 6:09Stoppage (Out of bounds)87
108
Q4 - 6:18HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound87
108
Q4 - 6:21BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot87
108
Q4 - 6:27BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound87
108
Q4 - 6:29BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot87
108
Q4 - 6:35BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound87
108
Q4 - 6:38BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot87
108
Q4 - 6:41BucksGrayson Allen offensive rebound87
108
Q4 - 6:44BucksJrue Holiday misses two point jump shot87
108
Q4 - 6:59HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point running layup87
108
Q4 - 7:03HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound87
106
Q4 - 7:06BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot87
106
Q4 - 7:14BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound87
106
Q4 - 7:18HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot87
106
Q4 - 7:41BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)87
106
Q4 - 7:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running finger roll layup (Kyle Lowry assists)84
106
Q4 - 7:56HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound84
104
Q4 - 7:59BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot84
104
Q4 - 8:08BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound84
104
Q4 - 8:10HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot84
104
Q4 - 8:29BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)84
104
Q4 - 8:39Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Khris Middleton, Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)84
104
Q4 - 8:39Bucks 60 second timeout84
104
Q4 - 8:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving bank jump shot84
104
Q4 - 8:57BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)84
102
Q4 - 9:20HeatDuncan Robinson makes technical free throw 1 of 184
102
Q4 - 9:20BucksMike Budenholzer technical foul84
101
Q4 - 9:20HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)84
101
Q4 - 9:24BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)84
99
Q4 - 9:31HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Khris Middleton steals)84
99
Q4 - 9:47Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Khris Middleton, Joe Ingles, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)84
99
Q4 - 9:47BucksPat Connaughton personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)84
99
Q4 - 9:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound84
99
Q4 - 9:49BucksBrook Lopez misses two point turnaround jump shot84
99
Q4 - 10:00HeatCaleb Martin makes two point tip layup84
99
Q4 - 10:00HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound84
97
Q4 - 10:05HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot84
97
Q4 - 10:27BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 184
97
Q4 - 10:27HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)83
97
Q4 - 10:27BucksKhris Middleton makes two point pullup jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)83
97
Q4 - 10:39HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)81
97
Q4 - 10:52BucksBrook Lopez turnover (out of bounds lost ball)81
94
Q4 - 10:53Stoppage (Out of bounds)81
94
Q4 - 10:53BucksBucks offensive rebound81
94
Q4 - 10:55BucksJrue Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot81
94
Q4 - 11:08Jump ball. Brook Lopez vs. Bam Adebayo (Jrue Holiday gains possession)81
94
Q4 - 11:08BucksBucks offensive rebound81
94
Q4 - 11:08Stoppage (Court cleanup)81
94
Q4 - 11:18BucksJrue Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 181
94
Q4 - 11:18HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)81
94
Q4 - 11:18BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving floating jump shot81
94
Q4 - 11:18BucksJrue Holiday offensive rebound79
94
Q4 - 11:19BucksVictor Oladipo blocks Grayson Allen's two point driving floating jump shot79
94
Q4 - 11:33BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound79
94
Q4 - 11:36HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot79
94
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Victor Oladipo, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson)79
94
Q4 - 12:00Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Khris Middleton, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)79
94
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.79
94
Q3 - 0:00.6BucksBucks offensive rebound79
94
Q3 - 0:00.6BucksJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot79
94
Q3 - 0:02.1BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound79
94
Q3 - 0:02.1HeatJoe Ingles blocks Kyle Lowry's three point pullup jump shot79
94
Q3 - 0:26.0BucksKhris Middleton makes two point pullup jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)79
94
Q3 - 0:32.0Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Khris Middleton, Joe Ingles, Pat Connaughton, Jrue Holiday)77
94
Q3 - 0:32.6HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)77
94
Q3 - 0:38.7Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Victor Oladipo, Cody Zeller, Gabe Vincent)77
94
Q3 - 0:38.7Bucks lineup change (Jevon Carter, Grayson Allen, Khris Middleton, Pat Connaughton, Jrue Holiday)77
94
Q3 - 0:38.7BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)77
94
Q3 - 0:54.6HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound77
94
Q3 - 0:56.8BucksJevon Carter misses three point jump shot77
94
Q3 - 0:58.9BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound77
94
Q3 - 1:01BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot77
94
Q3 - 1:14HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot77
94
Q3 - 1:28BucksBobby Portis makes two point cutting layup (Jrue Holiday assists)77
92
Q3 - 1:43HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot75
92
Q3 - 2:03Heat 60 second timeout75
90
Q3 - 2:03BucksBobby Portis makes two point tip layup75
90
Q3 - 2:03BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound73
90
Q3 - 2:05BucksJevon Carter misses three point jump shot73
90
Q3 - 2:15HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Pat Connaughton steals)73
90
Q3 - 2:24BucksJoe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Cody Zeller steals)73
90
Q3 - 2:35BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound73
90
Q3 - 2:37HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot73
90
Q3 - 2:49BucksPat Connaughton makes three point pullup jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)73
90
Q3 - 3:03HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot70
90
Q3 - 3:12HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound70
88
Q3 - 3:15BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot70
88
Q3 - 3:21Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Victor Oladipo, Cody Zeller, Max Strus)70
88
Q3 - 3:21HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)70
88
Q3 - 3:29Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Cody Zeller, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus)70
88
Q3 - 3:29Bucks lineup change (Jevon Carter, Joe Ingles, Pat Connaughton, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)70
88
Q3 - 3:29Stoppage (Out of bounds)70
88
Q3 - 3:29BucksBucks defensive rebound70
88
Q3 - 3:29HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot70
88
Q3 - 3:50HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound70
88
Q3 - 3:53BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot70
88
Q3 - 4:01HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup70
88
Q3 - 4:24BucksKhris Middleton makes two point driving layup (Jevon Carter assists)70
86
Q3 - 4:34HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot68
86
Q3 - 4:49BucksJoe Ingles makes two point driving reverse layup (Pat Connaughton assists)68
83
Q3 - 5:04Stoppage (Out of bounds)66
83
Q3 - 5:10HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)66
83
Q3 - 5:30BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 266
81
Q3 - 5:30BucksKhris Middleton misses regular free throw 1 of 265
81
Q3 - 5:30Bucks lineup change (Jevon Carter, Khris Middleton, Joe Ingles, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez)65
81
Q3 - 5:30Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)65
81
Q3 - 5:30Bucks 60 second timeout65
81
Q3 - 5:30HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)65
81
Q3 - 5:39HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)65
81
Q3 - 5:39HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Joe Ingles draws the foul)65
81
Q3 - 5:39HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound65
81
Q3 - 5:40BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot65
81
Q3 - 5:47BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound65
81
Q3 - 5:49HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup65
81
Q3 - 6:08BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)65
81
Q3 - 6:13BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound62
81
Q3 - 6:16HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot62
81
Q3 - 6:34BucksJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)62
81
Q3 - 6:42BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound62
81
Q3 - 6:45HeatKevin Love misses three point running jump shot62
81
Q3 - 6:50BucksJoe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)62
81
Q3 - 7:01Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Joe Ingles, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)62
81
Q3 - 7:01Bucks 60 second timeout62
81
Q3 - 7:05HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 262
81
Q3 - 7:05HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 262
80
Q3 - 7:05BucksKhris Middleton shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)62
79
Q3 - 7:05HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound62
79
Q3 - 7:06HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot62
79
Q3 - 7:10HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound62
79
Q3 - 7:13BucksKevin Love blocks Jrue Holiday's two point layup62
79
Q3 - 7:24HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kevin Love assists)62
79
Q3 - 7:51BucksJrue Holiday makes two point floating jump shot62
76
Q3 - 8:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point reverse layup (Caleb Martin assists)60
76
Q3 - 8:12HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound60
74
Q3 - 8:12BucksJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot60
74
Q3 - 8:15BucksPat Connaughton offensive rebound60
74
Q3 - 8:18BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot60
74
Q3 - 8:25HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)60
74
Q3 - 8:35Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent, Kevin Love, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler)60
74
Q3 - 8:35Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Khris Middleton, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)60
74
Q3 - 8:35HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)60
74
Q3 - 8:35HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Bobby Portis steals)60
74
Q3 - 8:46HeatKevin Love defensive rebound60
74
Q3 - 8:49BucksBobby Portis misses two point jump shot60
74
Q3 - 9:00HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot60
74
Q3 - 9:24BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)60
72
Q3 - 9:46HeatMax Strus makes two point running layup (Kevin Love assists)57
72
Q3 - 9:52BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)57
70
Q3 - 10:09HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot57
70
Q3 - 10:21BucksGrayson Allen makes two point running dunk (Khris Middleton assists)57
68
Q3 - 10:22BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound55
68
Q3 - 10:27HeatJrue Holiday blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup55
68
Q3 - 10:43BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)55
68
Q3 - 10:56HeatMax Strus makes two point driving layup55
68
Q3 - 11:10BucksGrayson Allen turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)55
66
Q3 - 11:24HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)55
66
Q3 - 11:24HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)55
66
Q3 - 11:30BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)55
66
Q3 - 11:37BucksKhris Middleton makes two point fadeaway jump shot55
66
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler)53
66
Q3 - 12:00Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)53
66
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.53
66
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatKevin Love defensive rebound53
66
Q2 - 0:00.4BucksKhris Middleton misses two point pullup jump shot53
66
Q2 - 0:13.2HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)53
66
Q2 - 0:24.7BucksPat Connaughton makes two point driving layup (Brook Lopez assists)53
63
Q2 - 0:32.3Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Victor Oladipo, Gabe Vincent, Kevin Love, Jimmy Butler)51
63
Q2 - 0:32.3Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Khris Middleton, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)51
63
Q2 - 0:32.3HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)51
63
Q2 - 0:46.1HeatCaleb Martin makes three point pullup jump shot51
63
Q2 - 0:51.7HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
60
Q2 - 0:55.2BucksJae Crowder misses two point pullup jump shot51
60
Q2 - 1:07BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound51
60
Q2 - 1:10HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup51
60
Q2 - 1:33BucksKhris Middleton makes three point pullup jump shot51
60
Q2 - 1:42BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound48
60
Q2 - 1:45HeatKyle Lowry misses two point stepback jump shot48
60
Q2 - 2:01BucksJrue Holiday makes two point layup48
60
Q2 - 2:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)46
60
Q2 - 2:34BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)46
58
Q2 - 2:36BucksKhris Middleton offensive rebound43
58
Q2 - 2:40BucksKyle Lowry blocks Khris Middleton's two point running layup43
58
Q2 - 2:44HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Khris Middleton steals)43
58
Q2 - 2:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound43
58
Q2 - 2:57BucksJrue Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot43
58
Q2 - 3:08HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 143
58
Q2 - 3:08Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler)43
57
Q2 - 3:08Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Jae Crowder, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)43
57
Q2 - 3:08BucksJoe Ingles shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)43
57
Q2 - 3:08HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving bank jump shot43
57
Q2 - 3:15BucksKhris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Brook Lopez assists)43
55
Q2 - 3:41HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup40
55
Q2 - 3:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound40
53
Q2 - 3:55BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot40
53
Q2 - 4:03HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Joe Ingles draws the foul)40
53
Q2 - 4:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 240
53
Q2 - 4:16Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Joe Ingles, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)40
52
Q2 - 4:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 240
52
Q2 - 4:16BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)40
51
Q2 - 4:26BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving layup40
51
Q2 - 4:39HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)38
51
Q2 - 4:59Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson)38
48
Q2 - 4:59Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Joe Ingles, Pat Connaughton, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)38
48
Q2 - 4:59Heat 60 second timeout38
48
Q2 - 4:59BucksKhris Middleton makes two point driving bank jump shot38
48
Q2 - 5:03BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound36
48
Q2 - 5:06HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot36
48
Q2 - 5:20Bucks delay of game violation36
48
Q2 - 5:34BucksBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)36
48
Q2 - 5:51Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
48
Q2 - 5:51BucksBucks defensive rebound33
48
Q2 - 5:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot33
48
Q2 - 6:08BucksJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)33
48
Q2 - 6:23HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot30
48
Q2 - 6:33BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 230
45
Q2 - 6:33BucksJrue Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 229
45
Q2 - 6:33HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)29
45
Q2 - 6:50HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 229
45
Q2 - 6:50HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 229
44
Q2 - 6:50BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)29
43
Q2 - 7:03BucksJrue Holiday personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)29
43
Q2 - 7:07HeatKevin Love defensive rebound29
43
Q2 - 7:09BucksKhris Middleton misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot29
43
Q2 - 7:28Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Khris Middleton, Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)29
43
Q2 - 7:28Bucks 60 second timeout29
43
Q2 - 7:28HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running pullup jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)29
43
Q2 - 7:33HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound29
40
Q2 - 7:35BucksGrayson Allen misses two point driving bank jump shot29
40
Q2 - 7:48Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Victor Oladipo, Kevin Love, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson)29
40
Q2 - 7:48HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)29
40
Q2 - 8:00BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound29
40
Q2 - 8:04HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 229
40
Q2 - 8:04Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson)29
40
Q2 - 8:04Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)29
40
Q2 - 8:04HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 229
40
Q2 - 8:04BucksGrayson Allen shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)29
39
Q2 - 8:06BucksKhris Middleton turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)29
39
Q2 - 8:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)29
39
Q2 - 8:33HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound29
37
Q2 - 8:35BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot29
37
Q2 - 8:42BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound29
37
Q2 - 8:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup29
37
Q2 - 8:55BucksKhris Middleton personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)29
37
Q2 - 9:12BucksGrayson Allen makes three point pullup jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)29
37
Q2 - 9:25BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound26
37
Q2 - 9:27HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point turnaround bank jump shot26
37
Q2 - 9:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound26
37
Q2 - 9:38BucksBrook Lopez misses two point cutting layup26
37
Q2 - 9:48BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound26
37
Q2 - 9:55HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot26
37
Q2 - 10:24BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)26
37
Q2 - 10:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)23
37
Q2 - 11:01BucksBrook Lopez makes two point jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)23
34
Q2 - 11:15HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot21
34
Q2 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound21
31
Q2 - 11:28BucksBrook Lopez misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot21
31
Q2 - 11:44HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point turnaround jump shot21
31
Q2 - 11:56BucksPat Connaughton turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)21
29
Q2 - 12:00Bucks lineup change (Jevon Carter, Grayson Allen, Khris Middleton, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez)21
29
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
29
Q1 - 0:04.4HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound21
29
Q1 - 0:04.4BucksBam Adebayo blocks Jrue Holiday's two point jump shot21
29
Q1 - 0:24.0HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 221
29
Q1 - 0:24.0Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Victor Oladipo, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson)21
28
Q1 - 0:24.0Bucks lineup change (Jevon Carter, Grayson Allen, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)21
28
Q1 - 0:24.0HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 221
28
Q1 - 0:24.0BucksBrook Lopez personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)21
27
Q1 - 0:24.0HeatHeat offensive rebound21
27
Q1 - 0:25.4HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot21
27
Q1 - 0:35.5HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound21
27
Q1 - 0:37.8BucksJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot21
27
Q1 - 0:52.5HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)21
27
Q1 - 1:05Bucks lineup change (Jevon Carter, Jae Crowder, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)21
24
Q1 - 1:05BucksJrue Holiday turnover (out of bounds bad pass)21
24
Q1 - 1:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 3 of 321
24
Q1 - 1:17Bucks lineup change (Jevon Carter, Joe Ingles, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)21
23
Q1 - 1:17HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 321
23
Q1 - 1:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 321
23
Q1 - 1:17BucksPat Connaughton shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)21
22
Q1 - 1:22HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound21
22
Q1 - 1:25BucksJoe Ingles misses three point pullup jump shot21
22
Q1 - 1:43HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot21
22
Q1 - 1:58HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound21
19
Q1 - 1:58BucksJrue Holiday misses three point running pullup jump shot21
19
Q1 - 2:04BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound21
19
Q1 - 2:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot21
19
Q1 - 2:22BucksBobby Portis turnover (offensive foul)21
19
Q1 - 2:22BucksBobby Portis offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)21
19
Q1 - 2:41Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson)21
19
Q1 - 2:41Heat 60 second timeout21
19
Q1 - 2:41HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)21
19
Q1 - 2:51HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound21
19
Q1 - 2:53BucksJrue Holiday misses two point stepback jump shot21
19
Q1 - 3:02BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound21
19
Q1 - 3:04HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot21
19
Q1 - 3:16HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound21
19
Q1 - 3:18BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot21
19
Q1 - 3:30Jump ball. Jrue Holiday vs. Caleb Martin (Joe Ingles gains possession)21
19
Q1 - 3:34Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler)21
19
Q1 - 3:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot21
19
Q1 - 4:02Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler)21
17
Q1 - 4:02Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jae Crowder, Pat Connaughton, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)21
17
Q1 - 4:02BucksBrook Lopez turnover (back court violation)21
17
Q1 - 4:18HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving dunk21
17
Q1 - 4:38BucksBrook Lopez makes two point turnaround hook shot21
15
Q1 - 4:51HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Grayson Allen draws the foul)19
15
Q1 - 5:01Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Joe Ingles, Jae Crowder, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)19
15
Q1 - 5:01Stoppage (Out of bounds)19
15
Q1 - 5:01BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound19
15
Q1 - 5:04HeatBrook Lopez blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup19
15
Q1 - 5:18BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 219
15
Q1 - 5:18Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent, Kevin Love, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler)18
15
Q1 - 5:18Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Joe Ingles, Jae Crowder, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)18
15
Q1 - 5:18BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 218
15
Q1 - 5:18HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)17
15
Q1 - 5:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk17
15
Q1 - 5:28HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound17
13
Q1 - 5:29HeatJimmy Butler misses two point putback layup17
13
Q1 - 5:31HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound17
13
Q1 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup17
13
Q1 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound17
13
Q1 - 5:33HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating bank jump shot17
13
Q1 - 5:55BucksKhris Middleton makes three point pullup jump shot17
13
Q1 - 6:03BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound14
13
Q1 - 6:05HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot14
13
Q1 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
13
Q1 - 6:15BucksBrook Lopez misses two point floating jump shot14
13
Q1 - 6:22Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Khris Middleton, Joe Ingles, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)14
13
Q1 - 6:22Bucks 60 second timeout14
13
Q1 - 6:28HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot14
13
Q1 - 6:33HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound14
10
Q1 - 6:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot14
10
Q1 - 6:46HeatKevin Love defensive rebound14
10
Q1 - 6:49BucksBrook Lopez misses two point jump shot14
10
Q1 - 7:03HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)14
10
Q1 - 7:17BucksJrue Holiday makes two point jump shot14
7
Q1 - 7:31BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound12
7
Q1 - 7:33HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot12
7
Q1 - 7:49BucksBobby Portis makes two point driving floating jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)12
7
Q1 - 7:58BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound10
7
Q1 - 8:00HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot10
7
Q1 - 8:14BucksJrue Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot10
7
Q1 - 8:29HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)7
7
Q1 - 8:37HeatKevin Love defensive rebound7
4
Q1 - 8:39BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot7
4
Q1 - 8:52HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)7
4
Q1 - 8:52HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Charge) (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)7
4
Q1 - 9:01HeatKevin Love defensive rebound7
4
Q1 - 9:04BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot7
4
Q1 - 9:24HeatMax Strus makes two point running dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)7
4
Q1 - 9:29BucksKhris Middleton turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)7
2
Q1 - 9:34HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Brook Lopez steals)7
2
Q1 - 9:54BucksJrue Holiday makes three point running pullup jump shot7
2
Q1 - 9:58BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound4
2
Q1 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot4
2
Q1 - 10:11BucksBrook Lopez makes two point finger roll layup (Khris Middleton assists)4
2
Q1 - 10:26HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
2
Q1 - 10:44BucksKhris Middleton turnover (offensive foul)2
2
Q1 - 10:44BucksKhris Middleton offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)2
2
Q1 - 11:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Gabe Vincent assists)2
2
Q1 - 11:08HeatKevin Love defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 11:10BucksKhris Middleton misses two point running layup2
0
Q1 - 11:15BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 11:17HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot2
0
Q1 - 11:32BucksJrue Holiday makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
0
Q1 - 11:38BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:39HeatGabe Vincent misses two point tip layup0
0
Q1 - 11:39HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:43HeatGabe Vincent misses two point floating jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Brook Lopez vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)0
0
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.08 53.8%
MIA
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
11
18
61%
MIA
15
22
68%
Midrange
MIL
12
28
43%
MIA
14
29
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
15
22.5
39
38%
58%
MIA
16
24.0
33
48%
73%
Free Throws
MIL
8
12
67%
MIA
15
17
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Middleton2372%11.5 / 16
J. Holiday1950%9.5 / 19
G. Allen1470%7.0 / 10
P. Connaughton1179%5.5 / 7
B. Portis950%4.5 / 9
B. Lopez633%3.0 / 9
J. Ingles536%2.5 / 7
J. Crowder550%2.5 / 5
M. Beauchamp583%2.5 / 3
G. Dragic233%1.0 / 3
J. Carter0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3075%15.0 / 20
D. Robinson20111%10.0 / 9
K. Lowry1568%7.5 / 11
B. Adebayo1250%6.0 / 12
M. Strus1275%6.0 / 8
C. Martin1260%6.0 / 10
V. Oladipo867%4.0 / 6
K. Love650%3.0 / 6
H. Highsmith4200%2.0 / 1
G. Vincent220%1.0 / 5
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
80
+12
-18
92
MIA
85
+9
-13
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.08 53.8%
MIA
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.7
114.3
MIL 101.0
MIA 123.5 +22.4
Pace
101.5
94.4
MIL 102.6 +8.8
MIA 93.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.5
MIL 14.0 −1.3
MIA 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.9%
53.1%
MIL 53.5%
MIA 63.1% +9.6%
TO %
13.7%
11.6%
MIL 16.6%
MIA 13.3% −3.3%
ORB %
22.8%
21.7%
MIL 18.2%
MIA 21.6% +3.4%
FTrt
23.1
22.8
MIL 14.1
MIA 20.2 +6.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
59.3%
MIL 57.9% +9.0%
MIA 48.9%
STL %
6.4%
7.4%
MIL 7.1%
MIA 13.3% +6.2%
BLK %
6.5%
7.4%
MIL 5.9%
MIA 8.7% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.2%
55.5%
MIL 53.8%
MIA 64.4% +10.6%
Rim FG%
65.3%
60.5%
MIL 61.1%
MIA 68.2% +7.1%
Mid FG%
46.3%
41.3%
MIL 42.9%
MIA 48.3% +5.4%
3P %
37.9%
38.0%
MIL 38.5%
MIA 48.5% +10.0%
FT %
71.0%
81.3%
MIL 66.7%
MIA 88.2% +21.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
26.1%
29.9%
MIL 21.2%
MIA 26.2% +5.0%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
31.3%
MIL 32.9% −1.6%
MIA 34.5%
3P Att. %
44.5%
38.8%
MIL 45.9% +6.6%
MIA 39.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points99121
Rebounds3744
Assists2222
Steals713
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)13 (1)
Fouls1518
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)36 (0)
Field Goals38-8545-84
At-the-Rim FG11-1815-22
Midrange FG12-2814-29
2-Point FG23-4629-51
3-Point FG15-3916-33
Free Throws8-1215-17
Fast Break Pts1318
2nd Chance Pts913
Points in Paint3646
Pts off Turnovers1321
Bench Points2859
Biggest Lead729

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 33
35.9
19
50%
5
3
0
1
5
1
1
4
1-3
33%
6-12
50%
2-6
33%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32
34.0
23
72%
5
6
2
0
5
3
1
4
4-5
80%
5-9
56%
3-5
60%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35
29.9
6
33%
3
2
1
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
#12 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 28
27.1
14
70%
4
2
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
4-7
57%
#9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28
23.1
9
50%
10
1
2
0
1
6
4
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 30
26.0
11
79%
7
3
1
0
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
#7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36
22.4
5
36%
0
1
0
1
3
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-6
17%
#99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33
13.4
5
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#5 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 28
12.4
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#31 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 37
3.9
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23
3.9
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
#43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#3 · C · 7'1" 255 · 31
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back; Contusion
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
54%
37
22
7
3
18
15
8
29
8-12
67%
23-46
50%
15-39
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.